Brighton are expected to score the most over the next three games.
Fixtures
FPL fixture difficulty, GW11 to GW16
Every club's next six games, rated from the odds: who will score, who will keep clean sheets, and whose run is about to turn.
How to use this →This week: From GW11 to GW13, Brighton have the best run for goals and Spurs the best for clean sheets. Sunderland have the hardest. Sunderland's fixtures get easier from GW14. As of Tue 10 Nov, 14:47 UK.
Gameweek 11 match previews
More ways to get ahead
How it works
How to use this
- 1Start with the three cards: the best attack run and the best defence run over the next three gameweeks, and the club whose games turn easier later on, each with players to look at.
- 2In the grid, pick a view. Overall colours each fixture by the club's chance of winning and the goals it is expected to let in. Attack shows the goals each club is expected to score: buy attackers from the greenest runs. Defence shows each club's clean-sheet chance: buy defenders and keepers there.
- 3Clubs are sorted by the next three gameweeks in the view you choose, easiest first. Weeks four to six stay in view for planning further ahead.
- 4A week with two boxes is a double gameweek; blank means no match. Weeks the bookmakers have not priced yet show our estimate from club strength, labelled estimate, with the number in italics.
- 5Use the run of three or four fixtures, not one: a single hard match is noise, a run is a plan. When you find one, check the move in the transfer planner.
Where the numbers come from
Fixture difficulty here is not a committee score. For every priced match we take the market's win probability and the goals each side is expected to score, from de-vigged odds. The clean-sheet chance is the chance the opponent scores none.
The bookmakers price one to three gameweeks ahead. Beyond that the cells show the club-strength estimates fitted to this season's scores and the market's expected goals, labelled as estimates and replaced by the odds as soon as they exist.
Full methodology →Questions
Common questions
01How is FPL fixture difficulty calculated on this site?
Half from the club's chance of winning, half from the goals it is expected to concede, both from de-vigged odds where a match is priced and from club-strength estimates where it is not. The result is bucketed into four colour bands. The Attack and Defence views colour by goals expected and clean-sheet chance instead.
02Which clubs have the easiest fixtures from GW11?
The top rows of the grid: it is sorted by the next three gameweeks, easiest first. Switch to Attack for the clubs expected to score most, or Defence for the best clean-sheet chances.