What the odds say, the likely elevens, and the FPL picks from both sides.
How to use this →Gameweek 11Tips and overview →
This match: Coventry City are favourites at 40%, the draw 27%, and 1-1 the likeliest score. Coventry City are 25% to keep a clean sheet. The pick of the match is Rudoni on 4.0 expected points. As of Tue 10 Nov, 14:47 UK.
Coventry City are 40% to win at home, Crystal Palace 34%, the draw 27%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.5 goals from Coventry City and 1.4 from Crystal Palace; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Coventry City are 25% to keep a clean sheet, Crystal Palace 21%: goals at both ends, so neither defence is a pick on the clean sheet alone.
Rudoni is the pick from Coventry City: 4.0 expected points, 25% to score, owned by 3% of the top 10k at £4.9m. Then Thomas-Asante on 3.7 and Pinnock on 3.7.
| Player | GW11 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RudoniCOV · MID£4.9m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 25% | 3% | + Watch |
| Thomas-Asante · FWD |
The cheap one: Thomas-Asante at £5.0m, 3.7 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Thomas (50%).
Kamada is the pick from Crystal Palace: 3.9 expected points, 16% to score, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.0m. Then Yeremy on 3.9 and Richards on 3.5.
Nobody from Crystal Palace clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: Yeremy at £5.5m, 3.9 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Mateta (out).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Rudoni, is 4.0 against Haaland's 7.2 elsewhere.
| 3.7 |
| — |
| 0% |
| + Watch |
| PinnockCOV · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| CherifCOV · FWD£5.0m · 79% to start | 3.3 | 25% | — | + Watch |
| DasilvaCOV · DEF£4.0m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW11 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KamadaCRY · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 16% | 0% | + Watch |
| YeremyCRY · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| RichardsCRY · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| WhartonCRY · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 8% | 0% | + Watch |
| MitchellCRY · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 8% | 1% | + Watch |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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