What the odds say, the likely elevens, and the FPL picks from both sides.
How to use this →Gameweek 11Tips and overview →
This match: Bournemouth are favourites at 47%, the draw 27%, and 1-1 the likeliest score. Bournemouth are 32% to keep a clean sheet. The pick of the match is Evanilson on 5.2 expected points. As of Tue 10 Nov, 14:47 UK.
Bournemouth are 47% to win at home, Nott'm Forest 26%, the draw 27%. The market expects 1.6 goals from Bournemouth and 1.1 from Nott'm Forest; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 1-0 and 2-1.
Bournemouth are 32% to keep a clean sheet, Nott'm Forest 20%.
Gibbs-White is the pick from Nott'm Forest: 3.8 expected points, 25% to score, owned by 13% of the top 10k at £7.8m. Then Delap on 3.5 and Schlager on 3.5.
Nobody from Nott'm Forest clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Evanilson, is 5.2 against Haaland's 7.2 elsewhere.
| 4.5 |
| 24% |
| 66% |
| + Watch |
| HillBOU · DEF£5.6m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 8% | 2% | + Watch |
| SilvaBOU · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 8% | 23% | + Watch |
| RayanBOU · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 25% | 2% | + Watch |
| Player | GW11 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID£7.8m · 79% to start | 3.8 | 25% | 13% | + Watch |
| DelapNFO · FWD£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 25% | 0% | + Watch |
| SchlagerNFO · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 8% | — | + Watch |
| MurilloNFO · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| McAteeNFO · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 12% | — | + Watch |
From recent starts and FPL's flags; the line-ups page has every club.
From recent starts and FPL's flags; the line-ups page has every club.
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.