What the odds say, the likely elevens, and the FPL picks from both sides.
How to use this →Gameweek 11Tips and overview →
This match: Brentford are favourites at 47%, the draw 26%, and 1-1 the likeliest score. Brentford are 30% to keep a clean sheet. The pick of the match is Schade on 4.4 expected points. As of Tue 10 Nov, 14:47 UK.
Brentford are 47% to win at home, Everton 27%, the draw 26%. The market expects 1.7 goals from Brentford and 1.2 from Everton; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Brentford are 30% to keep a clean sheet, Everton 19%.
Schade is the pick from Brentford: 4.4 expected points, 27% to score, owned by 15% of the top 10k at £6.1m. Then Ajer on 3.9 and Lewis-Potter on 3.7.
Flagged: Thiago (out).
Barry is the pick from Everton: 4.1 expected points, 28% to score, owned by 26% of the top 10k at £5.7m. Then Dewsbury-Hall on 4.0 and Tarkowski on 3.4.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Schade, is 4.4 against Haaland's 7.2 elsewhere.
| 3.9 |
| 8% |
| 5% |
| + Watch |
| Lewis-PotterBRE · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 16% | 1% | + Watch |
| KayodeBRE · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 8% | 1% | + Watch |
| M.SangaréBRE · MID£5.4m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 16% | 4% | + Watch |
| Player | GW11 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BarryEVE · FWD£5.7m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 28% | 26% | + Watch |
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 19% | 10% | + Watch |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEF£6.2m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 8% | 10% | + Watch |
| GarnerEVE · MID£6.0m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| GeorgeEVE · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 18% | 0% | + Watch |
From recent starts and FPL's flags; the line-ups page has every club.
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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