What the odds say, the likely elevens, and the FPL picks from both sides.
How to use this →Gameweek 11Tips and overview →
This match: Spurs are favourites at 61%, the draw 21%, and 2-1 the likeliest score. Spurs are 36% to keep a clean sheet. The pick of the match is Van Hecke on 5.2 expected points. As of Tue 10 Nov, 14:47 UK.
Spurs are 61% to win at home, Ipswich Town 17%, the draw 21%: a heavy lean to Spurs. The market expects 2.1 goals from Spurs and 1.0 from Ipswich Town; the likeliest score is 2-1 (10%), then 2-0 and 1-1.
Spurs are 36% to keep a clean sheet, Ipswich Town 12%.
Enciso is the pick from Ipswich Town: 3.3 expected points, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.5m. Then Emersonn on 3.1 and Palacios on 3.1.
Nobody from Ipswich Town clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Van Hecke, is 5.2 against Haaland's 7.2 elsewhere.
| 4.9 |
| 25% |
| 3% |
| + Watch |
| MarmoushTOT · FWD£7.0m · 93% to start | 4.6 | 37% | 0% | + Watch |
| SolankeTOT · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 33% | 1% | + Watch |
| TonaliTOT · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 15% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW11 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EncisoIPS · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.3 | — | 0% | + Watch |
| EmersonnIPS · FWD£5.4m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 20% | 0% | + Watch |
| PalaciosIPS · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 7% | — | + Watch |
| FlorentinoIPS · MID£4.8m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 6% | — | + Watch |
| MaedaIPS · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 16% | — | + Watch |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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