What the odds say, the likely elevens, and the FPL picks from both sides.
How to use this →Gameweek 11Tips and overview →
This match: Brighton are favourites at 62%, the draw 22%, and 0-2 the likeliest score. Brighton are 39% to keep a clean sheet. The pick of the match is De Cuyper on 5.5 expected points. As of Tue 10 Nov, 14:47 UK.
Hull City are 16% to win at home, Brighton 62%, the draw 22%: a heavy lean to Brighton. The market expects 0.9 goals from Hull City and 2.1 from Brighton; the likeliest score is 0-2 (10%), then 0-1 and 1-2.
Brighton are 39% to keep a clean sheet, Hull City 13%.
McBurnie is the pick from Hull City: 3.7 expected points, 23% to score, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.5m. Then Belloumi on 3.1 and Iroegbunam on 3.0.
Flagged: Targett (out).
De Cuyper is the pick from Brighton: 5.5 expected points, 21% to score, owned by 82% of the top 10k at £5.5m. Then Kostoulas on 5.4 and Groß on 5.3.
The cheap one: Vuskovic at £5.3m, 5.0 points and 93% to start.
De Cuyper is the 3rd best pick of Gameweek 11 on 5.5, behind Haaland on 7.2: a captain option, not the first one.
| 3.1 |
| 19% |
| 5% |
| + Watch |
| IroegbunamHUL · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.0 | — | — | + Watch |
| EganHUL · DEF£4.1m · 93% to start | 2.7 | 5% | 9% | + Watch |
| SlaterHUL · MID£4.5m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 6% | 8% | + Watch |
| Player | GW11 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De CuyperBHA · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 5.5 | 21% | 82% | + Watch |
| KostoulasBHA · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 5.4 | 38% | 3% | + Watch |
| GroßBHA · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 5.3 | 22% | 89% | + Watch |
| VuskovicBHA · DEF£5.3m · 93% to start | 5.0 | 12% | 14% | + Watch |
| GomezBHA · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 4.8 | 27% | 4% | + Watch |
From recent starts and FPL's flags; the line-ups page has every club.
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.