FPL clean sheet odds, GW10
Defences the market trusts: from the match-result and total-goals markets, with a team-totals line where one is offered. Goalkeepers and defenders earn 4 points for a clean sheet, midfielders 1. How to use this →
GW10 archive: as published, frozen before the GW10 deadline, with actual points where the gameweek has been settled. This week's page →
Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Updated Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UKDefences the market trusts
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How to use this
- 1Read the bar as the chance the club concedes nothing. Goalkeepers and defenders earn four points for it, midfielders one.
- 2A clean sheet chance above 40% is strong for a Premier League side; the league average in a week is about 30%.
- 3Pair this with expected goals conceded: a side that is likely to concede once but rarely twice still protects defenders from the minus-one.
- 4In a double gameweek both fixtures are listed and the figure is the chance of at least one clean sheet across the two.
Where the numbers come from
We fit each match's expected goals from the result and total-goals markets, which gives the chance the opponent scores zero. Where a bookmaker offers a team-total line we use that directly, because it is a price on exactly this question.
Every probability has the margin removed and is averaged across books, so it is what the market believes, not what it charges.
Full methodology →