Expected points
FPL expected points, GW9
Every player's expected points this gameweek, from the bookmakers' prices. Best by position: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
GW9 archive: as published, frozen before the GW9 deadline, with actual points where the gameweek has been settled. This week's page →
More ways to get ahead
How it works
How to use this
- 1Sort by xPts for the best picks this week, by points per million for value, or filter by position to compare like with like.
- 2The goal column is the market's chance the player scores at least once. Start chance is from availability and recent minutes, not from the odds, and is labelled as such.
- 3A player marked partial has a component with no market yet (usually assists early in the week). The number shown leaves that part out rather than guessing.
- 4Use expected points for the week you are picking for. For a five-week view, use the team builder or the analyser.
Where the numbers come from
Expected points apply FPL's scoring to probabilities from the odds: goals and assists from player markets, clean sheets and goals conceded from the match markets, appearance points from start chance. Saves, bonus and defensive contribution come from the player's own season record and are flagged as estimates.
Each number lists how many bookmakers sit behind it, and the whole model is written up on the methodology page.
Full methodology →Questions
