FPL has finished checking Gameweek 10. Every figure below is what this site showed at the Gameweek 10 deadline, on Friday 6 November, set against what happened.
Our team builder beat 80% of the top 10k
Our free tool, the Implied Fantasy team builder, picks the best £100m squad from the odds. At the Gameweek 10 deadline its squad was expected to score 66. It scored 73: 18 more than the average manager, 8 more than the eleven most-owned players with the same captain, and more than 80% of a 1,000-manager sample from the top 10k, with automatic substitutes counted for everyone. That sample averaged 66. That is four weeks in a row above four in five of the top 10k. It was a closer week than the last one, though: the popular players did well too, so the gap to the most-owned eleven was 8 points, not 23.
Once again the squad did it without its captain. Thierno Barry, picked at £5.6m and 10.6% owned, scored twice, set up the other goal and took three bonus points in Everton's 3-1 win over Coventry on Friday night: 16 points, the joint top score in the game this week. His teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, owned by 7.2%, added 9. Arsenal beat Hull 1-0, so David Raya, Gabriel and Ezri Konsa scored 22 between them, and Alexander Isak scored 8 at Crystal Palace. All eleven started, so the bench was not needed, which left 9 points from Brighton's Diego Gómez unused.
Captain
The market's captain was Erling Haaland: 52% to score away at Nottingham Forest and 6.9 expected points, 13.8 with the armband. Forest won 3-1 and he scored 2, 4 as captain, for the second week running. Most managers made the same pick: 77% of our top-10k sample captained him, so the miss cost little ground. Four of the next five on the captain ranking did better. Gabriel and Konsa scored 8 each, Martin Ødegaard scored the only goal against Hull for 11, and Isak scored 8; only Kai Havertz, taken off after 62 minutes, matched Haaland's 2. Two blanks in a row do not change the sums. He had the best chance to score of anyone this week, and a 52% chance fails nearly half the time.
The market's eleven against the most-owned eleven
Take the eleven players with the highest expected points in a legal formation, with no budget and no captain: they scored 66. Seven of them were Arsenal players, and Ødegaard's 11 led them. The eleven most-owned players in the same shape scored 63, only 3 behind. Nicolas Jackson, owned by 31%, scored 11 in Aston Villa's 4-4 draw at Manchester United, Pascal Groß scored 10 and Rayan Cherki 9, which made up for João Pedro not playing. The Gameweek 10 team of the week shows both elevens.
Clean sheets
It was a week for goals: 30 in ten matches, and only four clean sheets. Arsenal were the one club the market rated above 40%, on 60%, and they beat Hull 1-0. The next five all conceded: Everton, Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester City and Bournemouth, each rated between 31% and 37%. The other three clean sheets came from further down: Brighton (28%) beat Brentford 2-0, Leeds (26%) beat Spurs 1-0 and Sunderland (19%) beat Chelsea 1-0. The clean sheets page has this week's chances.
- Arsenal60%✓ 1-0 v Hull
- Everton37%✗ conceded 1 to Coventry
- Liverpool35%✗ conceded 1 at Crystal Palace
- Chelsea33%✗ conceded 1 at Sunderland
- Man City33%✗ conceded 3 at Forest
- Bournemouth31%✗ conceded 1 at Ipswich
- Brighton28%✓ 2-0 v Brentford
- Leeds26%✓ 1-0 v Spurs
- Sunderland19%✓ 1-0 v Chelsea
What the numbers missed
The biggest surprise was at Old Trafford, where Manchester United and Aston Villa drew 4-4. Villa's Alysson, owned by 0.1%, scored 16 from 2.3 expected points: a goal, two assists and three bonus points in 70 minutes. United's Patrick Dorgu scored 11 from 0.6 with a goal and an assist in 24 minutes. Liam Delap, owned by 1.5%, scored twice for Forest against Manchester City for 13 from 3.4. Sunderland's Enzo Le Fée scored the winner against Chelsea for 11 from 3.7, and Leeds defender Tarik Muharemović scored 10 with a clean sheet and 14 defensive actions. The defensive contributions page shows who is most likely to earn those two points this week.
Across the 313 players who appeared, our expected points were 2.0 points from the real score on average, against 1.9 the week before. Eight of the ten players with the highest expected points played the full game; Havertz came off after 62 minutes and Riccardo Calafiori after 68. The track record keeps every gameweek's numbers.
The international break comes first, so Gameweek 11 does not start until Saturday 21 November, with the deadline at 11:00. The Gameweek 11 page shows the fixtures and fills in as the markets open. Our tips go up on Tuesday 17 November and are updated on Friday 20 November after the press conferences.
Gameweek 11 overview →