The week
Alysson scored 16 points for Aston Villa away at Man Utd in GW10, with a goal and two assists in 70 minutes. At the deadline the market had him on 2.3 expected points, with a 17% chance to score and a 79% chance of appearing. For a £4.9m midfielder that is a very good return on a modest number, and only 0.1% of managers had him.
What the odds did
For GW11, home to Sunderland, he comes to 2.5 expected points, with an 18% chance to score. That is 0.2 points and one percentage point higher than his numbers before Man Utd. Villa have a 55% chance of winning and a 36% chance of a clean sheet. The odds have barely moved, and 2.5 is still a low figure for a midfield slot.
The crowd
Since the deadline, 850 managers have brought him in and 90 have sold him. His price has not moved: +£0.0m. It is a small rush, and the market's number for next week does not support it.
The call
Don't buy him for Sunderland. If you already own him, keep him on your bench, where 2.5 expected points belongs. Other midfielders around his price had much higher numbers last week: Diego Gómez Amarilla at £5.0m was on 4.3 expected points home to Brentford, Alex Iwobi at £5.4m was on 4.5 home to Newcastle, and Jack Rudoni at £4.9m was on 3.8 away at Everton. Those were GW10 matches, so check their GW11 numbers on the planner before you make a move. All three were well above the 2.5 Alysson now has.
Sources: Fantasy Premier League