The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Brighton 2-0 Brentford. Vuskovic top-scored with 12 points. Before kick-off the odds had Brighton 50% and Brentford 25%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Brighton are 50% to win at home, Brentford 25%, the draw 25%. The market expects 1.8 goals from Brighton and 1.3 from Brentford; the likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Brighton are 28% to keep a clean sheet, Brentford 16%.
The cheap one: Ayari at £5.5m, 4.4 points and 93% to start.
Thiago is the pick from Brentford: 4.0 expected points, 32% to score and 12% to assist, though FPL has him at 0% to play, owned by 2% of the top 10k at £7.8m. Then Schade on 4.0 and Anthony on 3.2.
Nobody from Brentford clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Flagged: Thiago (0%).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, De Cuyper, is 5.0 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Brighton 2-0 Brentford, as the odds leaned. The top score was Vuskovic's 12 points (1 assist).
Our picks: De Cuyper 6 (expected 5.0) and Thiago -2 (expected 4.0).
Brighton kept a clean sheet, at 28% before kick-off.
| 4.8 |
| 34% |
| 3% |
| + Watch |
| GroßBHA · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.6 | 19% | 89% | + Watch |
| AyariBHA · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 22% | 0% | + Watch |
| GomezBHA · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 26% | 4% | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ThiagoBRE · FWD£7.8m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 32% | 2% | + Watch |
| SchadeBRE · MID£6.1m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 23% | 15% | + Watch |
| AnthonyBRE · MID£5.9m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| Lewis-PotterBRE · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 11% | 1% | + Watch |
| JaneltBRE · MID£5.0m · 79% to start | 3.1 | 8% | 1% | + Watch |
| 2 |
| GomezBHA · MIDexpected 4.3 | 9 | 1 | — | 1 |
| De CuyperBHA · DEFexpected 5.0 | 6 | — | — | — |
| VerbruggenBHA · GKPexpected 3.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| CostinhaBHA · DEFexpected 2.3 | 6 | — | — | — |
| BoscagliBHA · DEFexpected 3.2 | 5 | — | — | — |
| DunkBHA · DEFexpected 2.6 | 5 | — | — | — |
| AyariBHA · MIDexpected 4.4 | 3 | — | — | — |
| KelleherBRE · GKPexpected 2.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AjerBRE · DEFexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| JaneltBRE · MIDexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KostoulasBHA · FWDexpected 4.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WilsonBRE · FWDexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YarmoliukBRE · MIDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| JensenBRE · MIDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| O.DangoBRE · MIDexpected 3.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SchadeBRE · MIDexpected 4.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CollinsBRE · DEFexpected 0.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| M.SangaréBRE · MIDexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YalcouyéBHA · MIDexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DioufBRE · DEFexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MintehBHA · MIDexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HinshelwoodBHA · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KayodeBRE · DEFexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GeorginioBHA · FWDexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lewis-PotterBRE · MIDexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Van den BergBRE · DEFexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HickeyBRE · DEFexpected 1.5 | 0 | — | — | — |
| WiefferBHA · DEFexpected 0.6 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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