The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea. E.Le Fée top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Sunderland 26% and Chelsea 48%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Sunderland are 26% to win at home, Chelsea 48%, the draw 26%. The market expects 1.1 goals from Sunderland and 1.6 from Chelsea; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 0-1 and 1-2.
Chelsea are 32% to keep a clean sheet, Sunderland 19%.
Nobody from Sunderland clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: Xhaka at £5.3m, 3.7 points and 93% to start.
Palmer is the pick from Chelsea: 5.1 expected points, 32% to score and 22% to assist, owned by 76% of the top 10k at £9.8m. Then Rogers on 5.0 and Neto on 4.7.
Flagged: João Pedro (out), Lacroix (out), James (out) and Martinez (75%).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Palmer, is 5.1 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea, against the lean to Chelsea. The top score was E.Le Fée's 11 points (1 goal).
Our picks: E.Le Fée 11 (expected 3.7) and Palmer 2 (expected 5.1).
Sunderland kept a clean sheet, at 19% before kick-off.
| 3.7 |
| 8% |
| 0% |
| + Watch |
| SadikiSUN · MID£4.8m · 93% to start | 2.8 | 8% | — | + Watch |
| BrobbeySUN · FWD£5.7m · 64% to start | 2.6 | 27% | 0% | + Watch |
| N.AnguloSUN · MID£5.0m · 79% to start | 2.4 | — | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PalmerCHE · MID£9.8m · 93% to start | 5.1 | 32% | 76% | + Watch |
| RogersCHE · MID£8.2m · 93% to start | 5.0 | 30% | 93% | + Watch |
| NetoCHE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 4.7 | 26% | 1% | + Watch |
| ColwillCHE · DEF£4.8m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 6% | — | + Watch |
| WelbeckCHE · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 32% | — | + Watch |
| 2 |
| MukieleSUN · DEFexpected 2.0 | 9 | — | — | 1 |
| ReinildoSUN · DEFexpected 2.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| HumeSUN · DEFexpected 2.3 | 6 | — | — | — |
| MeunierSUN · DEFexpected 1.7 | 5 | — | — | — |
| O'NienSUN · DEFexpected 1.3 | 5 | — | — | — |
| SadikiSUN · MIDexpected 2.8 | 5 | — | — | — |
| AhokaSUN · MIDexpected 0.5 | 4 | — | — | — |
| BrobbeySUN · FWDexpected 2.6 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| CaicedoCHE · MIDexpected 1.6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| TalbiSUN · MIDexpected 1.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| LaviaCHE · MIDexpected 1.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| ChavarriaCHE · DEFexpected 1.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RogersCHE · MIDexpected 5.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PalmerCHE · MIDexpected 5.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PalestraCHE · DEFexpected 1.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PendersCHE · GKPexpected 1.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| HendersonCHE · MIDexpected 1.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| IsidorSUN · FWDexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EstêvãoCHE · MIDexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| QuendaCHE · MIDexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EmeghaCHE · FWDexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NetoCHE · MIDexpected 4.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| FofanaCHE · DEFexpected 2.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GustoCHE · DEFexpected 1.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WelbeckCHE · FWDexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| XhakaSUN · MIDexpected 3.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RiggSUN · MIDexpected 1.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| N.AnguloSUN · MIDexpected 2.4 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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