MID · Chelsea

Moisés Caicedo Corozo

£5.3mowned by 1.0%3 pts this seasonavailable

Started 1 of 6, 71 min a start, unused sub 4×. Transfers this gameweek: +4,207 −2,354 (net +1,853).

Gameweek 7 v EVE (A)

0.9expected points

Goal chance: 8%
Assist chance: 11%
Start chance: 36%; from availability and recent starts
Projected bonus: 0.08

Goal and assist chance unchanged since the odds opened on 15 Oct.

Chelsea this week: 1.65 expected goals, 27% clean sheet away. Clean sheets →

Captain picks → · Every player →

Odds last refreshed Thu 15 Oct, 13:00 UK

Next fixtures

GW7	EVE (A)	0.9
GW8	TOT (H)	0.6team market
GW9	MUN (H)	no market
GW10	SUN (A)	no market

This week from player markets; later weeks from the team's expected goals split by his season share. Fixture ticker →

Price and ownership

Tracked since 15 Oct: £5.3m, owned by 1.0%. The trend line fills in as the daily snapshots build up.

Tonight: rise 8% of the threshold →

Our projections vs reality

The first deadline snapshot is frozen before GW7; the comparison starts there.

In the top 10k

Owned: 0.1%
Captained: 0.0%
Effective: 0.1%

A sample of 1,000 top-10k teams after the GW6 deadline, against 1.0% overall. Effective ownership counts a captain twice. Full table →

Alternatives at £5.3m ±£1.0m

Ndiaye MCI · IPS (H)	£5.8m	4.9
King FUL · HUL (H)	£5.6m	4.7
Janelt BRE · LIV (H)	£5.0m	4.5
Buendía AVL · NEW (A)	£5.9m	4.4
Anderson MCI · IPS (H)	£6.3m

This season

3 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 clean sheets · 11 defensive contribution · 0 bonus · 84 min · 0 yellow · 1.5 pts per appearance

GW	Opponent	Min	DC	BPS	Bonus	Pts
GW6	BOU (H)	71	11	20	0	2
GW5	BRE (A)	0	0	0	0	0
GW4	HUL (H)	0	0

Questions

Is Caicedo a good FPL captain this week?: Caicedo projects 0.9 expected points against EVE (A), with a 8% chance of scoring; that ranks outside the top among likely starters this gameweek. The captain page ranks every candidate by expected captained points.
Will Caicedo rise or fall in price?: Tonight's price watch has Caicedo at 8% of the rise threshold from net transfers today. Above 100% is a predicted move; the price-changes page updates through the day.
Is Caicedo a rotation risk?: Caicedo has started 1 of Chelsea's 6 league matches this season, averaging 71 minutes a start, and was an unused substitute 4 times. The model gives a 36% chance of appearing this week and 18% of playing an hour.
Who does Caicedo play next?: GW7: EVE (A) (0.9 expected); GW8: TOT (H) (0.6 expected); GW9: MUN (H); GW10: SUN (A)

Every number is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data; see the methodology.

Gameweek 7 v EVE (A)

0.9expected points

Goal chance

Assist chance

11%

Start chance

36%

from availability and recent starts

Projected bonus

0.08

Goal and assist chance unchanged since the odds opened on 15 Oct.

Chelsea this week: 1.65 expected goals, 27% clean sheet away. Clean sheets →

Odds last refreshed Thu 15 Oct, 13:00 UK

Opponent

Min

BPS

Bonus

Pts

GW6

BOU (H)

GW5

BRE (A)

GW4

HUL (H)

Questions

Is Caicedo a good FPL captain this week?

Caicedo projects 0.9 expected points against EVE (A), with a 8% chance of scoring; that ranks outside the top among likely starters this gameweek. The captain page ranks every candidate by expected captained points.

Will Caicedo rise or fall in price?

Tonight's price watch has Caicedo at 8% of the rise threshold from net transfers today. Above 100% is a predicted move; the price-changes page updates through the day.

Is Caicedo a rotation risk?

Caicedo has started 1 of Chelsea's 6 league matches this season, averaging 71 minutes a start, and was an unused substitute 4 times. The model gives a 36% chance of appearing this week and 18% of playing an hour.

Who does Caicedo play next?

GW7: EVE (A) (0.9 expected); GW8: TOT (H) (0.6 expected); GW9: MUN (H); GW10: SUN (A)

Every number is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data; see the methodology.