The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Nott'm Forest 3-1 Man City. Delap top-scored with 13 points. Before kick-off the odds had Nott'm Forest 21% and Man City 55%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Nott'm Forest are 21% to win at home, Man City 55%, the draw 24%. The market expects 1.1 goals from Nott'm Forest and 1.9 from Man City; the likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), then 1-2 and 0-1.
Man City are 33% to keep a clean sheet, Nott'm Forest 15%.
Gibbs-White is the pick from Nott'm Forest: 3.6 expected points, 24% to score and 19% to assist, owned by 13% of the top 10k at £7.8m. Then McAtee on 3.6 and Delap on .
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID£7.8m · 79% to start | 3.6 | 24% | 13% | + Watch |
| McAtee · MID |
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DelapNFO · FWDexpected 3.4 | 13 | 2 | — | 3 |
| Jair CunhaNFO · DEFexpected 1.7 | 9 | 1 | — |
Nobody from Nott'm Forest clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: McAtee at £5.5m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
Haaland is the pick from Man City: 6.9 expected points, 52% to score and 16% to assist, owned by 99% of the top 10k at £15.8m. Then Ndiaye on 4.2 and Cherki on 4.1.
Haaland is the best captain pick of Gameweek 10 on 6.9 expected points, so the armband belongs in this match.
Nott'm Forest 3-1 Man City, against the lean to Man City. The top score was Delap's 13 points (2 goals).
Our picks: Gibbs-White 5 (expected 3.6) and Haaland 2 (expected 6.9).
| 3.6 |
| 12% |
| — |
| + Watch |
| DelapNFO · FWD£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 24% | 0% | + Watch |
| NdoyeNFO · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 18% | 0% | + Watch |
| MurilloNFO · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HaalandMCI · FWD£15.8m · 93% to start | 6.9 | 52% | 99% | + Watch |
| NdiayeMCI · MID£5.8m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 24% | 2% | + Watch |
| CherkiMCI · MID£7.9m · 79% to start | 4.1 | 26% | 10% | + Watch |
| DokuMCI · MID£7.5m · 79% to start | 3.8 | 23% | 3% | + Watch |
| EnzoMCI · MID£6.9m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 20% | 1% | + Watch |
| 1 |
| CherkiMCI · MIDexpected 4.1 | 9 | 1 | — | 2 |
| SchlagerNFO · MIDexpected 2.9 | 7 | — | 1 | — |
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MIDexpected 3.6 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| MurilloNFO · DEFexpected 3.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| HaalandMCI · FWDexpected 6.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MuñozNFO · DEFexpected 2.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| NdiayeMCI · MIDexpected 4.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DokuMCI · MIDexpected 3.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| EnzoMCI · MIDexpected 3.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SelsNFO · GKPexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| N.WilliamsNFO · DEFexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MilenkovićNFO · DEFexpected 0.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AndersonMCI · MIDexpected 3.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| YatesNFO · MIDexpected 0.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| I.SangaréNFO · MIDexpected 1.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DonnarummaMCI · GKPexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus N.MCI · DEFexpected 3.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| O'ReillyMCI · DEFexpected 2.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KhusanovMCI · DEFexpected 1.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| FodenMCI · MIDexpected 2.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RúbenMCI · DEFexpected 3.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| McAteeNFO · MIDexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GuéhiMCI · DEFexpected 2.9 | 0 | — | — | — |
| NetzNFO · DEFexpected 0.5 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Igor JesusNFO · FWDexpected 0.8 | 0 | — | — | — |
| GvardiolMCI · DEFexpected 3.4 | 0 | — | — | — |
| NdoyeNFO · MIDexpected 3.4 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.