The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 7Tips and overview →
Played: Everton 0-2 Chelsea. Neto top-scored with 15 points. Before kick-off the odds had Everton 33% and Chelsea 40%. As of Sat 17 Oct, 10:39 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 7 deadline.
Everton are 33% to win at home, Chelsea 40%, the draw 27%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.4 goals from Everton and 1.6 from Chelsea; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 1-2 and 0-1.
Chelsea are 25% to keep a clean sheet, Everton 21%: goals at both ends, so neither defence is a pick on the clean sheet alone.
Dewsbury-Hall is the pick from Everton: 4.4 expected points, 23% to score and 17% to assist, owned by 10% of the top 10k at £6.6m. Then Tarkowski on 4.2 and on .
| Player | GW7 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 23% | 10% | + Watch |
| Tarkowski · DEF |
The cheap one: George at £5.5m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
Palmer is the pick from Chelsea: 4.8 expected points, 30% to score and 21% to assist, owned by 76% of the top 10k at £9.8m. Then Rogers on 4.8 and João Pedro on 4.5.
Flagged: João Pedro (0%), Lacroix (0%), James (out) and Martinez (75%).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Palmer, is 4.8 against Haaland's 7.6 elsewhere.
Everton 0-2 Chelsea, as the odds leaned. The top score was Neto's 15 points (2 goals).
Our picks: Dewsbury-Hall 2 (expected 4.4) and Palmer 2 (expected 4.8).
Chelsea kept a clean sheet, at 25% before kick-off.
| 4.2 |
| 8% |
| 10% |
| + Watch |
| BarryEVE · FWD£5.7m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 29% | 26% | + Watch |
| GeorgeEVE · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 20% | 0% | + Watch |
| GarnerEVE · MID£6.0m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW7 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PalmerCHE · MID£9.8m · 93% to start | 4.8 | 30% | 76% | + Watch |
| RogersCHE · MID£8.2m · 93% to start | 4.8 | 27% | 93% | + Watch |
| João PedroCHE · FWD£7.6m · 79% to start | 4.5 | 36% | 12% | + Watch |
| LacroixCHE · DEF£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 6% | — | + Watch |
| NetoCHE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 17% | 1% | + Watch |
| 2 |
| MartinezCHE · GKPexpected 2.7 | 8 | — | — | 1 |
| AcheampongCHE · DEFexpected 2.2 | 7 | — | — | — |
| ColwillCHE · DEFexpected 2.3 | 6 | — | — | — |
| LacroixCHE · DEFexpected 3.5 | 6 | — | — | — |
| HendersonCHE · MIDexpected 1.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| CaicedoCHE · MIDexpected 0.9 | 3 | — | — | — |
| João PedroCHE · FWDexpected 4.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PalmerCHE · MIDexpected 4.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BarryEVE · FWDexpected 3.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MIDexpected 4.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GrealishEVE · MIDexpected 2.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GarnerEVE · MIDexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RogersCHE · MIDexpected 4.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PickfordEVE · GKPexpected 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RöhlEVE · MIDexpected 1.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Maitland-NilesEVE · DEFexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WelbeckCHE · FWDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PalestraCHE · DEFexpected 0.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| LaviaCHE · MIDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| QuendaCHE · MIDexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| JohnsonEVE · MIDexpected 3.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BranthwaiteEVE · DEFexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MykolenkoEVE · DEFexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GeorgeEVE · MIDexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ArmstrongEVE · MIDexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PendersCHE · GKPexpected 0.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NørgaardEVE · MIDexpected 0.2 | 0 | — | — | — |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEFexpected 4.2 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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