The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 7Tips and overview →
Played: Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace. Ayari top-scored with 13 points. Before kick-off the odds had Brighton 63% and Crystal Palace 17%. As of Sat 17 Oct, 10:39 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 7 deadline.
Brighton are 63% to win at home, Crystal Palace 17%, the draw 21%: a heavy lean to Brighton. The market expects 2.1 goals from Brighton and 1.0 from Crystal Palace; the likeliest score is 2-1 (10%), then 2-0 and 1-1.
Brighton are 36% to keep a clean sheet, Crystal Palace 12%.
The cheap one: Gomez at £5.0m, 4.8 points and 93% to start.
Kamada is the pick from Crystal Palace: 3.3 expected points, 10% to score and 14% to assist, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.0m. Then Wharton on 3.2 and Strand Larsen on 3.2.
Nobody from Crystal Palace clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Flagged: Mateta (out).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Vuskovic, is 4.9 against Haaland's 7.6 elsewhere.
Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace, as the odds leaned. The top score was Ayari's 13 points (1 goal, 1 assist).
Our picks: Vuskovic 11 (expected 4.9) and Kamada 1 (expected 3.3).
Brighton kept a clean sheet, at 36% before kick-off.
| 4.8 |
| 41% |
| 3% |
| + Watch |
| GomezBHA · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 4.8 | 27% | 4% | + Watch |
| GroßBHA · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.8 | 20% | 89% | + Watch |
| De CuyperBHA · DEF£5.5m · 79% to start | 4.7 | 21% | 82% | + Watch |
| Player | GW7 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KamadaCRY · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| WhartonCRY · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| Strand LarsenCRY · FWD£5.9m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 25% | — | + Watch |
| YeremyCRY · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 14% | — | + Watch |
| RichardsCRY · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 5% | 0% | + Watch |
| 3 |
| VuskovicBHA · DEFexpected 4.9 | 11 | — | 1 | — |
| BoscagliBHA · DEFexpected 3.1 | 10 | — | 1 | 1 |
| GomezBHA · MIDexpected 4.8 | 8 | 1 | — | — |
| HinshelwoodBHA · MIDexpected 1.1 | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| VerbruggenBHA · GKPexpected 3.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| F.KadıoğluBHA · DEFexpected 3.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| De CuyperBHA · DEFexpected 4.7 | 6 | — | — | — |
| DunkBHA · DEFexpected 3.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| GroßBHA · MIDexpected 4.8 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| WhartonCRY · MIDexpected 3.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RichardsCRY · DEFexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| YeremyCRY · MIDexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Strand LarsenCRY · FWDexpected 3.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AndrésBHA · MIDexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GeorginioBHA · FWDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SvobodaBHA · DEFexpected 0.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YalcouyéBHA · MIDexpected 3.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BenitezCRY · GKPexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HadjamBHA · DEFexpected 0.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HughesCRY · MIDexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| LermaCRY · MIDexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KamadaCRY · MIDexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TimberCRY · MIDexpected 2.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MatetaCRY · FWDexpected 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NketiahCRY · FWDexpected 2.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| McNeilCRY · MIDexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MitchellCRY · DEFexpected 2.5 | 0 | — | — | — |
| KhalailiCRY · DEFexpected 2.9 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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