The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Arsenal 1-0 Hull City. Ødegaard top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Arsenal 83% and Hull City 5%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Arsenal are 83% to win at home, Hull City 5%, the draw 12%: a heavy lean to Arsenal. The market expects 2.7 goals from Arsenal and 0.6 from Hull City; the likeliest score is 2-0 (14%), then 3-0 and 1-0.
Arsenal are 58% to keep a clean sheet, Hull City 7%: Arsenal's defenders are in play this week.
The cheap one: Konsa at £4.8m, 6.0 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Saka (out).
McBurnie is the pick from Hull City: 2.9 expected points, 15% to score and 8% to assist, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.5m. Then Belloumi on 2.8 and Slater on 2.4.
Nobody from Hull City clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Flagged: Targett (out).
Gabriel is the 2nd best pick of Gameweek 10 on 6.0, behind Haaland on 6.9: a captain option, not the first one.
Arsenal 1-0 Hull City, as the odds leaned. The top score was Ødegaard's 11 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Gabriel 8 (expected 6.0) and McBurnie 2 (expected 2.9).
Arsenal kept a clean sheet, at 58% before kick-off.
| 6.0 |
| 8% |
| 86% |
| + Watch |
| HavertzARS · FWD£7.4m · 93% to start | 5.7 | 46% | 1% | + Watch |
| ØdegaardARS · MID£6.7m · 93% to start | 5.7 | 29% | 6% | + Watch |
| CalafioriARS · DEF£5.9m · 93% to start | 5.2 | 13% | 82% | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McBurnieHUL · FWD£5.5m · 93% to start | 2.9 | 15% | 0% | + Watch |
| BelloumiHUL · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 2.8 | 13% | 5% | + Watch |
| SlaterHUL · MID£4.5m · 93% to start | 2.4 | 4% | 8% | + Watch |
| IroegbunamHUL · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 2.2 | — | — | + Watch |
| ThomasHUL · MID£5.5m · 64% to start | 2.0 | 9% | — | + Watch |
| — |
| MaduekeARS · MIDexpected 3.5 | 8 | — | 1 | 2 |
| GabrielARS · DEFexpected 6.0 | 8 | — | — | — |
| RayaARS · GKPexpected 4.9 | 6 | — | — | — |
| J.TimberARS · DEFexpected 2.3 | 6 | — | — | — |
| CalafioriARS · DEFexpected 5.2 | 6 | — | — | — |
| AjayiHUL · DEFexpected 1.7 | 6 | — | — | — |
| TzolakisHUL · GKPexpected 1.6 | 6 | — | — | 1 |
| CoyleHUL · DEFexpected 1.5 | 5 | — | — | — |
| MendyHUL · DEFexpected 0.8 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RiceARS · MIDexpected 5.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| Bruno G.ARS · MIDexpected 4.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| TzolisARS · MIDexpected 3.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| McBurnieHUL · FWDexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| HavertzARS · FWDexpected 5.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| IroegbunamHUL · MIDexpected 2.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| EganHUL · DEFexpected 1.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SlaterHUL · MIDexpected 2.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GilesHUL · DEFexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MerinoARS · MIDexpected 3.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GelhardtHUL · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ZubimendiARS · MIDexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HincapieARS · DEFexpected 1.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MouzakitisHUL · MIDexpected 0.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| StroudHUL · MIDexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HerringtonHUL · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GyökeresARS · FWDexpected 4.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gourna-DouathHUL · MIDexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ChoHUL · MIDexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.