DEF · Arsenal

Piero Hincapié

£5.2mowned by 0.8%3 pts this seasondoubtful75% chance of playing

Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing

Started 0 of 6, unused sub 3×. Transfers this gameweek: +440 −4,704 (net -4,264).

Gameweek 7 v NFO (A)

0.5expected points · partial (no market: assist)

Goal chance: 9%
Assist chance: no market
Start chance: 27%; from availability and recent starts
Projected bonus: 0.03

Goal and assist chance unchanged since the odds opened on 15 Oct.

Arsenal this week: 1.81 expected goals, 43% clean sheet away. Clean sheets →

Captain picks → · Every player →

Odds last refreshed Thu 15 Oct, 13:00 UK

Next fixtures

GW7	NFO (A)	0.5
GW8	EVE (H)	0.3team market
GW9	LIV (A)	no market
GW10	HUL (H)	no market

This week from player markets; later weeks from the team's expected goals split by his season share. Fixture ticker →

Price and ownership

Tracked since 15 Oct: £5.2m, owned by 0.8%. The trend line fills in as the daily snapshots build up.

Tonight: fall 39% of the threshold →

Our projections vs reality

The first deadline snapshot is frozen before GW7; the comparison starts there.

In the top 10k

Hincapie does not appear in the latest top-10k sample, or the first sample (an hour after the GW7 deadline) is still to come. Top-10k ownership →

Alternatives at £5.2m ±£1.0m

Vuskovic BHA · CRY (H)	£5.1m	4.7
Guéhi MCI · IPS (H)	£6.0m	4.6
De Cuyper BHA · CRY (H)	£5.1m	4.6
Hall NEW · AVL (H)	£5.3m	4.4
Gvardiol MCI · IPS (H)	£5.8m	4.2

Same position, likely starters, by expected points this gameweek. Every player →

This season

3 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 clean sheets · 6 defensive contribution · 0 bonus · 40 min · 0 yellow · 1.0 pts per appearance

GW	Opponent	Min	G	A	GC	CS	DC	BPS	Bonus	Pts
GW6	LEE (H)	8 s	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	1
GW5	BHA (A)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GW4	SUN (A)

Questions

Is Hincapie a good FPL captain this week?: Hincapie projects 0.5 expected points against NFO (A), with a 9% chance of scoring; that ranks outside the top among likely starters this gameweek. The captain page ranks every candidate by expected captained points.
Will Hincapie rise or fall in price?: Tonight's price watch has Hincapie at 39% of the fall threshold from net transfers today. Above 100% is a predicted move; the price-changes page updates through the day.
Is Hincapie a rotation risk?: Hincapie has started 0 of Arsenal's 6 league matches this season, and was an unused substitute 3 times. The model gives a 27% chance of appearing this week and 4% of playing an hour.
Who does Hincapie play next?: GW7: NFO (A) (0.5 expected); GW8: EVE (H) (0.3 expected); GW9: LIV (A); GW10: HUL (H)

Every number is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data; see the methodology.

Gameweek 7 v NFO (A)

0.5expected points · partial (no market: assist)

Goal chance

Assist chance

no market

Start chance

27%

from availability and recent starts

Projected bonus

0.03

Goal and assist chance unchanged since the odds opened on 15 Oct.

Arsenal this week: 1.81 expected goals, 43% clean sheet away. Clean sheets →

Odds last refreshed Thu 15 Oct, 13:00 UK

Opponent

Min

BPS

Bonus

Pts

GW6

LEE (H)

8 s

GW5

BHA (A)

GW4

SUN (A)

Questions

Is Hincapie a good FPL captain this week?

Hincapie projects 0.5 expected points against NFO (A), with a 9% chance of scoring; that ranks outside the top among likely starters this gameweek. The captain page ranks every candidate by expected captained points.

Will Hincapie rise or fall in price?

Tonight's price watch has Hincapie at 39% of the fall threshold from net transfers today. Above 100% is a predicted move; the price-changes page updates through the day.

Is Hincapie a rotation risk?

Hincapie has started 0 of Arsenal's 6 league matches this season, and was an unused substitute 3 times. The model gives a 27% chance of appearing this week and 4% of playing an hour.

Who does Hincapie play next?

GW7: NFO (A) (0.5 expected); GW8: EVE (H) (0.3 expected); GW9: LIV (A); GW10: HUL (H)

Every number is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data; see the methodology.