A clean flag, a cloudy afternoon
Ezri Konsa's FPL flag couldn't be cleaner. That's exactly the problem. The one piece of team news about him says he'll sit out Arsenal's home game against Hull City this afternoon, Saturday 7 November, with the line-up said to have been settled on Friday.
No injury comes with it and the club hasn't said a word either way. FPL lists him as available with a 100% chance of playing, and there's no news on his profile. The team news that has come out closer to kick-off is about other players: Kai Havertz is back in for Arsenal and Mohamed Belloumi is out for Hull. Neither tells us anything about Konsa, who is owned by 23.4% of managers.
The market doesn't buy it
Our numbers give Konsa 6.0 expected points, the highest of any player in this story, and a 93% chance of appearing. That's the same figure as everyone else here, which tells you the market is treating him as a normal starter, not a man about to be left out.
Set that against the defenders around his price. Jeremy Jacquet and António Silva both cost £5.1m and come to 4.2 expected points for Sunday. Luka Vušković costs £5.2m and projects 4.1. Konsa is cheaper than all three and almost two points ahead of them.
Havertz is the Arsenal story
If you're looking for an Arsenal angle that comes with confirmed news, it's Havertz. He's back in, and on 5.7 expected points with a 46% chance to score, the £7.4m forward is owned by only 6.1% of managers. Belloumi owners have a simpler afternoon ahead: he's out, and his 2.8 expected points were modest even before the news, so let your bench cover him.
Hold Konsa
Keep him. If he starts, you've got the best projection in this group from a £4.8m slot. If he's rested, your first bench defender comes on and you lose one week from a player the market still rates higher than anyone near his price. Selling him for Jacquet, Silva or Vušković means paying more for less, all on the strength of one line nobody at the club has backed up.
Keep an eye on the injuries page when the team sheet lands. If he's missing, take a look at your bench order, then move on.
Sources: Football London, Sky Sports