On Thursday 5 November, 20:45 UK, FPL moved Ezri Konsa Ngoyo from fit to a 75% chance of playing. FPL's note says a knee injury. He is 23.4% owned, so nearly one manager in four has to decide what to do with him before Arsenal host Hull City on Saturday 7 November.
The odds are a little less sure than the flag. We give him a 70% chance of appearing, five points below FPL's 75%. Even with that doubt priced in, he comes to 4.5 expected points against Hull, which is more than any fit defender near his price. Jeremy Jacquet of Liverpool is on 4.2 away at Crystal Palace, Luka Vušković of Brighton is on 4.1 at home to Brentford, and Bournemouth's António Silva is on 4.1 away at Ipswich Town.
If you own him, keep him and start him. Selling him would spend a transfer and at least £0.3m on a lower number, because all three alternatives cost £5.1m or more. The thing to check is your bench. The odds give him roughly a 30% chance of not appearing, so make sure the defender first in line on your bench has a start of his own, and autosubs will cover you if Konsa misses out. If you do not own him, this is not the week to buy him. Wait for the flag to clear, and follow any change on our injuries page.
Sources: Fantasy Premier League