The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 7Tips and overview →
Played: Spurs 3-1 Coventry City. Marmoush top-scored with 9 points. Before kick-off the odds had Spurs 64% and Coventry City 15%. As of Sat 17 Oct, 10:39 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 7 deadline.
Spurs are 64% to win at home, Coventry City 15%, the draw 21%: a heavy lean to Spurs. The market expects 2.2 goals from Spurs and 0.9 from Coventry City; the likeliest score is 2-0 (10%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Spurs are 39% to keep a clean sheet, Coventry City 11%.
The cheap one: Van Hecke at £5.1m, 3.8 points and 93% to start.
Rudoni is the pick from Coventry City: 3.3 expected points, 15% to score and 14% to assist, owned by 3% of the top 10k at £4.9m. Then Thomas on 3.3 and Thomas-Asante on 3.0.
Nobody from Coventry City clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Flagged: Thomas (50%).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Tonali, is 4.3 against Haaland's 7.6 elsewhere.
Spurs 3-1 Coventry City, as the odds leaned. The top score was Marmoush's 9 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Tonali 4 (expected 4.3) and Rudoni 6 (expected 3.3).
| 4.2 |
| 39% |
| 1% |
| + Watch |
| Van HeckeTOT · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 3.8 | — | 40% | + Watch |
| MarmoushTOT · FWD£7.0m · 79% to start | 3.6 | 34% | 0% | + Watch |
| KinskyTOT · GKP£4.4m · 93% to start | 3.5 | — | 28% | + Watch |
| Player | GW7 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RudoniCOV · MID£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 15% | 3% | + Watch |
| ThomasCOV · DEF£4.0m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 8% | 13% | + Watch |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWD£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 21% | 0% | + Watch |
| YirenkyiCOV · MID£4.8m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 7% | — | + Watch |
| GrimesCOV · MID£4.8m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| 2 |
| DaviesTOT · DEFexpected 0.2 | 7 | 1 | — | — |
| KudusTOT · MIDexpected 3.2 | 6 | — | 1 | 1 |
| RudoniCOV · MIDexpected 3.3 | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWDexpected 3.0 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| RobertsonTOT · DEFexpected 3.4 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| Van HeckeTOT · DEFexpected 3.8 | 4 | — | — | — |
| SolankeTOT · FWDexpected 4.2 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| TonaliTOT · MIDexpected 4.3 | 4 | — | — | — |
| ThomasCOV · DEFexpected 3.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| SakamotoCOV · MIDexpected 0.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GrimesCOV · MIDexpected 2.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Van de VenTOT · DEFexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KinskyTOT · GKPexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GrayTOT · MIDexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TosinTOT · DEFexpected 0.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CherifCOV · FWDexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| OnyekaCOV · MIDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RushworthCOV · GKPexpected 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| van EwijkCOV · DEFexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kesler-HaydenCOV · DEFexpected 0.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mason-ClarkCOV · MIDexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AwoniyiCOV · FWDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TelTOT · MIDexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GallagherTOT · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KulusevskiTOT · MIDexpected 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| FernandesTOT · MIDexpected 3.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HamerCOV · MIDexpected 1.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PinnockCOV · DEFexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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