The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 7Tips and overview →
Played: Man City 3-2 Ipswich Town. Haaland top-scored with 13 points. Before kick-off the odds had Man City 77% and Ipswich Town 9%. As of Sat 17 Oct, 10:39 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 7 deadline.
Man City are 77% to win at home, Ipswich Town 9%, the draw 14%: a heavy lean to Man City. The market expects 2.9 goals from Man City and 0.9 from Ipswich Town; the likeliest score is 2-0 (9%), then 3-0 and 2-1.
Man City are 39% to keep a clean sheet, Ipswich Town 6%.
The cheap one: Donnarumma at £5.4m, 4.1 points and 93% to start.
Emersonn is the pick from Ipswich Town: 3.1 expected points, 19% to score and 9% to assist, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.4m. Then Palacios on 2.8 and Lukić on 2.7.
Nobody from Ipswich Town clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Haaland is the best captain pick of Gameweek 7 on 7.6 expected points, so the armband belongs in this match.
Man City 3-2 Ipswich Town, as the odds leaned. The top score was Haaland's 13 points (2 goals).
Our picks: Haaland 13 (expected 7.6) and Emersonn 2 (expected 3.1).
| 5.9 |
| 30% |
| 10% |
| + Watch |
| SemenyoMCI · MID£8.2m · 93% to start | 5.5 | 34% | 0% | + Watch |
| NdiayeMCI · MID£5.8m · 93% to start | 5.0 | 28% | 2% | + Watch |
| GvardiolMCI · DEF£5.6m · 93% to start | 4.6 | 12% | 11% | + Watch |
| Player | GW7 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EmersonnIPS · FWD£5.4m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 19% | 0% | + Watch |
| PalaciosIPS · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 2.8 | 6% | — | + Watch |
| LukićIPS · MID£4.9m · 93% to start | 2.7 | 5% | — | + Watch |
| MaedaIPS · MID£5.3m · 79% to start | 2.4 | 16% | — | + Watch |
| ClarkeIPS · MID£5.2m · 79% to start | 2.4 | 16% | — | + Watch |
| 2 |
| MaedaIPS · MIDexpected 2.4 | 7 | 1 | — | — |
| DokuMCI · MIDexpected 1.7 | 6 | — | 1 | 1 |
| FlemmingIPS · FWDexpected 1.6 | 5 | 1 | — | — |
| KovačićMCI · MIDexpected 1.0 | 5 | — | 1 | 1 |
| NdiayeMCI · MIDexpected 5.0 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| FatawuIPS · MIDexpected 2.1 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| PalaciosIPS · MIDexpected 2.8 | 4 | — | — | — |
| OuattaraIPS · DEFexpected 0.7 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| O'SheaIPS · DEFexpected 1.7 | 3 | — | — | — |
| DiopIPS · DEFexpected 2.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| EncisoIPS · MIDexpected 1.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| O'ReillyMCI · DEFexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| FlorentinoIPS · MIDexpected 1.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Matheus N.MCI · DEFexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WaltonIPS · GKPexpected 0.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BouaddiMCI · MIDexpected 1.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| EmersonnIPS · FWDexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RúbenMCI · DEFexpected 4.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GreavesIPS · DEFexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MatusiwaIPS · MIDexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ClarkeIPS · MIDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AkpomIPS · FWDexpected 1.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DonnarummaMCI · GKPexpected 4.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GuéhiMCI · DEFexpected 4.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EnzoMCI · MIDexpected 3.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KhusanovMCI · DEFexpected 2.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SemenyoMCI · MIDexpected 5.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AndersonMCI · MIDexpected 4.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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