The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Leeds 1-0 Spurs. Muharemović top-scored with 10 points. Before kick-off the odds had Leeds 34% and Spurs 37%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Leeds are 34% to win at home, Spurs 37%, the draw 28%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.3 goals from Leeds and 1.4 from Spurs; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 0-1 and 1-0.
Spurs are 28% to keep a clean sheet, Leeds 26%.
Muharemović is the pick from Leeds: 3.8 expected points, 6% to score and 7% to assist, owned by 37% of the top 10k at £5.1m. Then Bogle on 3.7 and Justin on .
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MuharemovićLEE · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 6% | 37% | + Watch |
| Bogle · DEF |
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MuharemovićLEE · DEFexpected 3.8 | 10 | — | — | 2 |
| TraffordLEE · GKPexpected 3.1 | 10 | — | — |
Nobody from Leeds clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: Bogle at £4.8m, 3.7 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Stach (50%).
Van Hecke is the pick from Spurs: 4.0 expected points, owned by 40% of the top 10k at £5.1m. Then Marmoush on 3.7 and Tonali on 3.6.
The cheap one: Tonali at £5.3m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Van Hecke, is 4.0 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Leeds 1-0 Spurs, against the lean to Spurs. The top score was Muharemović's 10 points.
Our picks: Muharemović 10 (expected 3.8) and Van Hecke 4 (expected 4.0).
Leeds kept a clean sheet, at 26% before kick-off.
| 3.7 |
| 9% |
| 3% |
| + Watch |
| JustinLEE · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 7% | 1% | + Watch |
| Calvert-LewinLEE · FWD£6.0m · 70% to start | 3.4 | 34% | 23% | + Watch |
| AmpaduLEE · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 6% | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van HeckeTOT · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 4.0 | — | 40% | + Watch |
| MarmoushTOT · FWD£7.0m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 24% | 0% | + Watch |
| TonaliTOT · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| SolankeTOT · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 27% | 1% | + Watch |
| KudusTOT · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 18% | 3% | + Watch |
| 3 |
| JustinLEE · DEFexpected 3.6 | 9 | — | — | 1 |
| ElvediLEE · DEFexpected 2.8 | 8 | — | — | — |
| BogleLEE · DEFexpected 3.7 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
| Pedro PorroTOT · DEFexpected 1.0 | 5 | — | — | — |
| OkaforLEE · MIDexpected 1.6 | 5 | 1 | — | — |
| FernandesTOT · MIDexpected 2.8 | 5 | — | — | — |
| TanakaLEE · MIDexpected 3.2 | 5 | — | — | — |
| Van HeckeTOT · DEFexpected 4.0 | 4 | — | — | — |
| AmpaduLEE · MIDexpected 3.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| Calvert-LewinLEE · FWDexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| NmechaLEE · FWDexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MarmoushTOT · FWDexpected 3.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KudusTOT · MIDexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GrayTOT · MIDexpected 2.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RobertsonTOT · DEFexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KinskyTOT · GKPexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| LongstaffLEE · MIDexpected 1.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BardLEE · DEFexpected 0.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WilsonLEE · MIDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RodonLEE · DEFexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GudmundssonLEE · DEFexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GruevLEE · MIDexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TonaliTOT · MIDexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Van de VenTOT · DEFexpected 3.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TelTOT · MIDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BentancurTOT · MIDexpected 1.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GallagherTOT · MIDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KulusevskiTOT · MIDexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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