The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Ipswich Town 1-2 Bournemouth. Evanilson top-scored with 9 points. Before kick-off the odds had Ipswich Town 25% and Bournemouth 50%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Ipswich Town are 25% to win at home, Bournemouth 50%, the draw 26%. The market expects 1.2 goals from Ipswich Town and 1.8 from Bournemouth; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 1-2 and 0-1.
Bournemouth are 31% to keep a clean sheet, Ipswich Town 17%.
Nobody from Ipswich Town clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: Enciso at £5.5m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
Tavernier is the pick from Bournemouth: 5.3 expected points, 29% to score and 22% to assist, owned by 66% of the top 10k at £6.7m. Then Evanilson on 4.9 and Rayan on 4.4.
The cheap one: Silva at £5.1m, 4.2 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Tavernier, is 5.3 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Ipswich Town 1-2 Bournemouth, as the odds leaned. The top score was Evanilson's 9 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Emersonn 1 (expected 3.8) and Tavernier 3 (expected 5.3).
| 3.6 |
| — |
| 0% |
| + Watch |
| PalaciosIPS · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 6% | — | + Watch |
| ClarkeIPS · MID£5.2m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| DiopIPS · DEF£3.9m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 4% | 5% | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TavernierBOU · MID£6.7m · 93% to start | 5.3 | 29% | 66% | + Watch |
| EvanilsonBOU · FWD£6.5m · 93% to start | 4.9 | 31% | 34% | + Watch |
| RayanBOU · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 27% | 2% | + Watch |
| SilvaBOU · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 7% | 23% | + Watch |
| HillBOU · DEF£5.6m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 5% | 2% | + Watch |
| — |
| 2 |
| ChristieBOU · MIDexpected 3.6 | 7 | — | 1 | 1 |
| AdamsBOU · MIDexpected 3.3 | 4 | — | — | — |
| HillBOU · DEFexpected 4.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| OuattaraIPS · DEFexpected 2.7 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| PalaciosIPS · MIDexpected 3.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| KluivertBOU · MIDexpected 2.9 | 3 | — | — | — |
| SilvaBOU · DEFexpected 4.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| TavernierBOU · MIDexpected 5.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| PetrovićBOU · GKPexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TruffertBOU · DEFexpected 3.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MaedaIPS · MIDexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| FlorentinoIPS · MIDexpected 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RayanBOU · MIDexpected 4.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WaltonIPS · GKPexpected 1.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DiopIPS · DEFexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiakitéBOU · DEFexpected 0.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SmithBOU · DEFexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CookBOU · MIDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AdliBOU · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kroupi.JrBOU · MIDexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RodríguezBOU · FWDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| O'SheaIPS · DEFexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| FatawuIPS · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EmersonnIPS · FWDexpected 3.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PhilogeneIPS · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AkpomIPS · FWDexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EncisoIPS · MIDexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| FlemmingIPS · FWDexpected 2.8 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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