The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Everton 3-1 Coventry City. Barry top-scored with 16 points. Before kick-off the odds had Everton 57% and Coventry City 19%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Everton are 57% to win at home, Coventry City 19%, the draw 24%: a heavy lean to Everton. The market expects 1.9 goals from Everton and 1.0 from Coventry City; the likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), then 1-0 and 2-1.
Everton are 36% to keep a clean sheet, Coventry City 15%.
Dewsbury-Hall is the pick from Everton: 5.2 expected points, 28% to score and 24% to assist, owned by 10% of the top 10k at £6.6m. Then Barry on 5.2 and Tarkowski on .
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 5.2 | 28% | 10% | + Watch |
| Barry · FWD |
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BarryEVE · FWDexpected 5.2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MIDexpected 5.2 | 9 | 1 | — |
The cheap one: George at £5.5m, 3.9 points and 93% to start.
Rudoni is the pick from Coventry City: 3.8 expected points, 18% to score and 15% to assist, owned by 3% of the top 10k at £4.9m. Then Pinnock on 3.0 and Thomas-Asante on 2.8.
Nobody from Coventry City clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Flagged: Thomas (50%).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Dewsbury-Hall, is 5.2 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Everton 3-1 Coventry City, as the odds leaned. The top score was Barry's 16 points (2 goals, 1 assist).
Our picks: Dewsbury-Hall 9 (expected 5.2) and Rudoni 2 (expected 3.8).
| 5.2 |
| 43% |
| 26% |
| + Watch |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEF£6.2m · 93% to start | 4.9 | 9% | 10% | + Watch |
| GarnerEVE · MID£6.0m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 13% | 0% | + Watch |
| GeorgeEVE · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 24% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RudoniCOV · MID£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 18% | 3% | + Watch |
| PinnockCOV · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 5% | 0% | + Watch |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWD£5.0m · 93% to start | 2.8 | 18% | 0% | + Watch |
| GrimesCOV · MID£4.8m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| CherifCOV · FWD£5.0m · 79% to start | 2.5 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| 2 |
| GbohoCOV · MIDexpected 0.8 | 8 | 1 | — | 1 |
| MykolenkoEVE · DEFexpected 3.6 | 8 | — | 1 | 1 |
| TorpCOV · MIDexpected 1.3 | 4 | — | — | — |
| PinnockCOV · DEFexpected 3.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| PickfordEVE · GKPexpected 3.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| BranthwaiteEVE · DEFexpected 3.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| DiblingEVE · MIDexpected 1.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RöhlEVE · MIDexpected 1.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RudoniCOV · MIDexpected 3.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEFexpected 4.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AwoniyiCOV · FWDexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GarnerEVE · MIDexpected 4.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GeorgeEVE · MIDexpected 3.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RushworthCOV · GKPexpected 2.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SakamotoCOV · MIDexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| ArmstrongEVE · MIDexpected 3.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| YirenkyiCOV · MIDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HamerCOV · MIDexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CherifCOV · FWDexpected 2.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TchaounaCOV · MIDexpected 0.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GrimesCOV · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWDexpected 2.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| JohnsonEVE · MIDexpected 3.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MfuniCOV · DEFexpected 1.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KeaneEVE · DEFexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| O'BrienEVE · DEFexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DasilvaCOV · DEFexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AlcarazEVE · MIDexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
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