The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 10Tips and overview →
Played: Crystal Palace 1-3 Liverpool. Wirtz top-scored with 13 points. Before kick-off the odds had Crystal Palace 17% and Liverpool 61%. As of Fri 6 Nov, 18:16 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 10 deadline.
Crystal Palace are 17% to win at home, Liverpool 61%, the draw 22%: a heavy lean to Liverpool. The market expects 1.1 goals from Crystal Palace and 2.2 from Liverpool; the likeliest score is 1-2 (10%), then 1-1 and 0-2.
Liverpool are 34% to keep a clean sheet, Crystal Palace 12%.
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WirtzLIV · MIDexpected 4.5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Mac AllisterLIV · MIDexpected 3.7 | 9 | 1 | — |
Nobody from Crystal Palace clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Flagged: Mateta (out).
Isak is the pick from Liverpool: 5.4 expected points, 41% to score and 19% to assist, owned by 18% of the top 10k at £9.3m. Then Barcola on 4.7 and Wirtz on 4.5.
The cheap one: Jacquet at £5.1m, 4.2 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Isak, is 5.4 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Crystal Palace 1-3 Liverpool, as the odds leaned. The top score was Wirtz's 13 points (1 goal, 1 assist).
Our picks: Kamada 2 (expected 3.2) and Isak 8 (expected 5.4).
| 3.1 |
| 15% |
| — |
| + Watch |
| WhartonCRY · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| RichardsCRY · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 2.9 | 5% | 0% | + Watch |
| MitchellCRY · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 2.6 | 8% | 1% | + Watch |
| Player | GW10 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IsakLIV · FWD£9.3m · 79% to start | 5.4 | 41% | 18% | + Watch |
| BarcolaLIV · MID£8.1m · 93% to start | 4.7 | 28% | 2% | + Watch |
| WirtzLIV · MID£7.2m · 93% to start | 4.5 | 24% | 1% | + Watch |
| VirgilLIV · DEF£6.4m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 9% | 1% | + Watch |
| JacquetLIV · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 7% | 2% | + Watch |
| 1 |
| IsakLIV · FWDexpected 5.4 | 8 | 1 | — | 2 |
| SzoboszlaiLIV · MIDexpected 2.7 | 7 | — | 1 | 1 |
| AraujoLIV · DEFexpected 3.9 | 7 | — | — | — |
| NketiahCRY · FWDexpected 2.2 | 5 | 1 | — | — |
| BarcolaLIV · MIDexpected 4.7 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| OsorioCRY · MIDexpected 0.9 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| A.BeckerLIV · GKPexpected 3.5 | 4 | — | — | — |
| JacquetLIV · DEFexpected 4.2 | 4 | — | — | — |
| VirgilLIV · DEFexpected 4.4 | 4 | — | — | — |
| DisasiCRY · DEFexpected 1.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| LermaCRY · MIDexpected 1.8 | 3 | — | — | — |
| GakpoLIV · MIDexpected 3.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| KamadaCRY · MIDexpected 3.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WhartonCRY · MIDexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| HendersonCRY · GKPexpected 0.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KerkezLIV · DEFexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Strand LarsenCRY · FWDexpected 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MinguezaCRY · DEFexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KoumasLIV · MIDexpected 3.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MitchellCRY · DEFexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KhalailiCRY · DEFexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RichardsCRY · DEFexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TimberCRY · MIDexpected 2.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| McNeilCRY · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GomezLIV · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YeremyCRY · MIDexpected 3.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NgumohaLIV · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NyoniLIV · MIDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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