The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Brentford 2-0 Nott'm Forest. Van den Berg top-scored with 10 points. Before kick-off the odds had Brentford 45% and Nott'm Forest 29%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Brentford are 45% to win at home, Nott'm Forest 29%, the draw 26%. The market expects 1.6 goals from Brentford and 1.3 from Nott'm Forest; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Brentford are 28% to keep a clean sheet, Nott'm Forest 19%.
Schade is the pick from Brentford: 4.3 expected points, 27% to score and 19% to assist, owned by 15% of the top 10k at £6.1m. Then Thiago on 4.2 and Lewis-Potter on .
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van den BergBRE · DEFexpected 1.2 | 10 | — | — | 2 |
| ThiagoBRE · FWDexpected 4.2 | 9 | 1 |
The cheap one: Lewis-Potter at £5.5m, 3.7 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Thiago (0%).
Gibbs-White is the pick from Nott'm Forest: 4.1 expected points, 26% to score and 22% to assist, owned by 13% of the top 10k at £7.8m. Then McAtee on 3.7 and Delap on 3.4.
The cheap one: McAtee at £5.5m, 3.7 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Schade, is 4.3 against Haaland's 7.0 elsewhere.
Brentford 2-0 Nott'm Forest, as the odds leaned. The top score was Van den Berg's 10 points.
Our picks: Schade 3 (expected 4.3) and Gibbs-White 2 (expected 4.1).
Brentford kept a clean sheet, at 28% before kick-off.
| 4.2 |
| 38% |
| 2% |
| + Watch |
| Lewis-PotterBRE · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 15% | 1% | + Watch |
| AnthonyBRE · MID£5.9m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 23% | — | + Watch |
| AjerBRE · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 6% | 5% | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID£7.8m · 79% to start | 4.1 | 26% | 13% | + Watch |
| McAteeNFO · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 12% | — | + Watch |
| DelapNFO · FWD£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 27% | 0% | + Watch |
| N.WilliamsNFO · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 10% | 2% | + Watch |
| MurilloNFO · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| — |
| 3 |
| AjerBRE · DEFexpected 3.6 | 8 | — | — | — |
| KelleherBRE · GKPexpected 3.0 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
| O.DangoBRE · MIDexpected 3.5 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| KayodeBRE · DEFexpected 3.3 | 5 | — | — | — |
| JaneltBRE · MIDexpected 3.4 | 5 | — | — | — |
| AnthonyBRE · MIDexpected 3.6 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| M.SangaréBRE · MIDexpected 3.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| Lewis-PotterBRE · MIDexpected 3.7 | 3 | — | — | — |
| SchadeBRE · MIDexpected 4.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| JensenBRE · MIDexpected 1.9 | 3 | — | — | — |
| MurilloNFO · DEFexpected 3.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| McAteeNFO · MIDexpected 3.7 | 3 | — | — | — |
| DelapNFO · FWDexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MIDexpected 4.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| NdoyeNFO · MIDexpected 1.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SelsNFO · GKPexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KalimuendoNFO · FWDexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| N.WilliamsNFO · DEFexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SchlagerNFO · MIDexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AinaNFO · DEFexpected 1.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jair CunhaNFO · DEFexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DamsgaardBRE · MIDexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WilsonBRE · FWDexpected 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HickeyBRE · DEFexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YatesNFO · MIDexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WoodNFO · FWDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MuñozNFO · DEFexpected 3.0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| MilenkovićNFO · DEFexpected 1.6 | -2 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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