The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 7Tips and overview →
Played: Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland. Evanilson top-scored with 12 points. Before kick-off the odds had Bournemouth 45% and Sunderland 28%. As of Sat 17 Oct, 10:39 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 7 deadline.
Bournemouth are 45% to win at home, Sunderland 28%, the draw 27%. The market expects 1.6 goals from Bournemouth and 1.2 from Sunderland; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 1-0 and 2-1.
Bournemouth are 31% to keep a clean sheet, Sunderland 21%.
The cheap one: Silva at £5.1m, 4.3 points and 93% to start.
Xhaka is the pick from Sunderland: 4.0 expected points, 7% to score and 15% to assist, though FPL has him at 75% to play, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.3m. Then E.Le Fée on 3.5 and Mukiele on 3.4.
Nobody from Sunderland clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Tavernier, is 4.6 against Haaland's 7.6 elsewhere.
Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland, as the odds leaned. The top score was Evanilson's 12 points (1 goal, 1 assist).
Our picks: Tavernier 10 (expected 4.6) and Xhaka 2 (expected 4.0).
Bournemouth kept a clean sheet, at 31% before kick-off.
| 4.4 |
| 5% |
| 2% |
| + Watch |
| SilvaBOU · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 6% | 23% | + Watch |
| RayanBOU · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 24% | 2% | + Watch |
| TruffertBOU · DEF£5.4m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 7% | 1% | + Watch |
| Player | GW7 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XhakaSUN · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| E.Le FéeSUN · MID£5.7m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 18% | 1% | + Watch |
| MukieleSUN · DEF£5.3m · 79% to start | 3.4 | 7% | — | + Watch |
| BrobbeySUN · FWD£5.7m · 79% to start | 3.2 | 28% | 0% | + Watch |
| N.AnguloSUN · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 17% | — | + Watch |
| — |
| 2 |
| SilvaBOU · DEFexpected 4.3 | 8 | — | — | 1 |
| HillBOU · DEFexpected 4.4 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
| SmithBOU · DEFexpected 3.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| PetrovićBOU · GKPexpected 3.0 | 6 | — | — | — |
| TruffertBOU · DEFexpected 3.9 | 6 | — | — | — |
| E.Le FéeSUN · MIDexpected 3.5 | 4 | — | — | — |
| MukieleSUN · DEFexpected 3.4 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RayanBOU · MIDexpected 4.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| AdamsBOU · MIDexpected 3.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| HumeSUN · DEFexpected 2.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RoefsSUN · GKPexpected 2.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CookBOU · MIDexpected 2.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| XhakaSUN · MIDexpected 4.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SadikiSUN · MIDexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| ChristieBOU · MIDexpected 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TutierovSUN · | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiakitéBOU · DEFexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KluivertBOU · MIDexpected 2.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gannon-DoakBOU · MIDexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AdliBOU · MIDexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RodríguezBOU · FWDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ReinildoSUN · DEFexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| O'NienSUN · DEFexpected 0.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiarraSUN · MIDexpected 0.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RiggSUN · MIDexpected 0.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AhokaSUN · MIDexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AldereteSUN · DEFexpected 0.3 | -1 | — | — | — |
| DansoSUN · DEFexpected 1.7 | -3 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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