The week
Thierno Barry scored 16 points home to Coventry City in GW10 on Friday 6 November: two goals, one assist and 90 minutes. Going into the match the market gave him a 43% chance to score and 5.2 expected points, so he finished well clear of his number. If you had him, that is a week to enjoy, and it counts.
What the odds say for GW11
Next up is away at Brentford, and the market has him on 4.6 expected points, 0.6 fewer than the 5.2 he had before the Coventry match. Everton are given a 24% chance of winning and a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet. A different opponent means a different number, and his number for GW11 is lower than the one he had before the haul, not higher.
The crowd
Since the deadline 9,884 managers have brought him in and 579 have sold him, and his price has not moved (+£0.0m). He is owned by 8.9% of managers overall and by 26.3% of the top 10k. The crowd is moving towards him; the odds for his next match have moved the other way.
The call
If you own him, keep him. He played the full 90 minutes, he is a £5.6m forward on 4.6 expected points, and nothing in the numbers makes a case for selling.
If you don't own him, do not buy him for last week's 16. A transfer in now is a transfer for 4.6 expected points away at Brentford, and that is the figure to weigh against the rest of your squad, not the haul. Run it through the planner before you spend a transfer on him.
Sources: Fantasy Premier League