Jan Paul van Hecke scored 15 points at home to Crystal Palace in GW9. He got a goal, no assists and played all 90 minutes. At the deadline the market had him on 4.5 expected points, so he scored more than three times his number. If you own him, as 9.4% of managers do, those points are banked.
What the odds say for Leeds
Next week is a different match: away at Leeds in GW10. The number is different too. The market gives him 3.5 expected points, a point below the 4.5 he carried into the Palace game. It gives Spurs a 34% chance of winning and a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet.
So his 15 points have not carried over into next week's number. For the trip to Leeds the odds have him lower than they did before this weekend.
What the crowd has done
Since the deadline 3,516 managers have brought him in and 778 have sold him. His price hasn't moved from £4.9m. Among the top 10,000 managers he is owned by 30.1%, against 9.4% overall.
The call
If you own him, keep him. A haul is no reason to sell, and a one-point dip for one match doesn't justify spending a transfer on a £4.9m defender who has just played 90 minutes. If you don't own him, keep in mind that the market's number for Leeds is lower than it was for Palace. The 15 points on their own are not a reason to buy him for GW10. Check how his number compares with other defenders at the price over the coming weeks in the planner before you spend a transfer on him.
Sources: Fantasy Premier League