Erling Haaland played 90 minutes away at Nott'm Forest on Saturday 7 November and got 2 points, with no goal and no assist. He went into GW10 on 6.9 expected points with a 52% chance to score, so the market made a goal only slightly more likely than not.
That means a blank was close to an even chance before kick-off. It's a poor week for the 79.2% of managers who own him, but it doesn't show that the number was wrong.
What the market gives him for GW11
Next up is Fulham at home. The market gives Haaland 6.1 expected points and a 53% chance to score. Man City are 65% to win and have a 35% chance of a clean sheet.
His expected points are lower than the 6.9 he had going into the Forest match. That's a different opponent, so it's a different number. His chance to score is a point higher than it was before Forest, so nothing in the GW11 odds marks down his goal threat after the blank.
The crowd
Since the deadline, 1,927 managers have sold him, but 4,544 have bought him, and his price is unchanged at £15.8m. The crowd as a whole has moved towards him, not away. Among the top 10,000 he is owned by 99.4%, so selling him means fielding a team almost none of them have.
The call
Keep him. The market gives him a 53% chance to score against Fulham, and one goalless afternoon at Forest doesn't change that. Selling at £15.8m on the back of one blank would mean taking a hit on a player the odds still rate above even to score. Our captain page has him alongside the rest of the week's options, and the planner shows how his next fixtures look.
Sources: Fantasy Premier League