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1 November 2026

Szoboszlai fit again but on the bench: hold him, the odds give him 32% to get on against Arsenal

FPL cleared Dominik Szoboszlai's 50% flag on Sunday, but he starts Liverpool's game against Arsenal as a substitute: owners should hold him and judge him on next week's team sheet.

By · 1 November 2026
Figures as of Sunday 1 November at 17:59 UK

FPL cleared Dominik Szoboszlai's flag at 16:46 on Sunday 1 November, moving him from a 50% chance of playing to fully fit. He travelled with the squad for Liverpool's home game against Arsenal, but he is on the bench.

That is where FPL's 100% and our numbers part company. FPL's figure only says he is available. Ours gives him a 32% chance of getting on the pitch at all and 1.2 expected points. Florian Wirtz has a 93% chance of playing and 3.6 expected points. Victor Munoz, who is also back in the squad, has a 39% chance and 1.5 expected points. Being fit and on the bench still points to a blank more often than not.

If you own him, as 13.5% of managers do, there is nothing to do this gameweek because the deadline has passed. If he does not come on, FPL's automatic substitution brings in your first player on the bench, which limits the damage. If he gets a short spell, he earns an appearance point and has time to add to it.

The call is to hold. The flag was the reason to sell, and the flag has gone. A £6.7m midfielder who is fit again is worth a week to see whether he wins his place back, and a transfer spent on a bench appearance is a poor use of it. If he is a substitute again next week, Marcus Tavernier at £6.6m, owned by 26.4%, is the obvious name at the price. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Pedro Lomba Neto are also £6.6m. Compare their numbers for next week in the planner.

Sources: Fantasy Premier League, Yahoo Sports, Liverpool Echo

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Every number here is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data, read at the time shown. Nothing here is a hunch. Methodology →