Bryan Mbeumo played all 90 minutes away at Chelsea in GW9 and got 1 point, with no goal and no assist. That hurts the 21.2% of managers who own him, and the 27.2% of the top 10k, but the market never expected a big week from him. At the deadline we gave him a 27% chance to score and 4.4 expected points. That's a decent number for an away trip to Chelsea, but not a big one. A 27% chance to score means he goes without a goal in nearly three games out of four.
The number for GW10
Next week's match is easier. At home to Aston Villa, the odds give him a 35% chance to score and 5.1 expected points, up from 27% and 4.4 at Chelsea. Man Utd are 44% to win and 24% to keep a clean sheet. The rise comes from the change of opponent and the home game. The blank tells you nothing new: a player with a 27% chance to score missed out, as he usually will.
The crowd
Since the deadline, 1,286 managers have sold him and 1,224 have bought him, so 62 more have gone out than come in, and his price hasn't moved from £7.9m. The crowd is split roughly down the middle. The market isn't split: his number for next week is higher than his number for this one.
If you want to move him anyway, the other players at his price don't make a strong case. On this week's numbers, Morgan Rogers (£8.1m, 51% owned) had 4.8 expected points. Rayan Cherki (£8.0m) had 4.4, with only a 79% chance of appearing. Mbeumo's team-mate Matheus Cunha (£7.8m) had 4.1. All three numbers are below the 5.1 Mbeumo has for Villa, so selling him would spend a transfer on a player the odds rate lower. Use your free transfer on a weaker part of your team; the planner will help you find it.
Keep him and start him against Villa. A template player stays in your team until the market turns against him, and this week it has moved his way.
Sources: Fantasy Premier League