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1 November 2026

Isak blanks against Arsenal: keep him, the odds for Palace still say 4.1

Alexander Isak took 2 points from 90 minutes against Arsenal, but his expected points for GW10 away at Crystal Palace are unchanged on 4.1, so keep him.

By · 1 November 2026
Figures as of Sunday 1 November at 18:34 UK

Alexander Isak played all 90 minutes home to Arsenal on Sunday 1 November and scored 2 points, with no goal and no assist. At the deadline the market gave him a 31% chance to score and 4.1 expected points. He was always more likely to blank than to score, and he blanked.

What the market says for Palace

In GW10, Liverpool play away at Crystal Palace. Isak's chance to score is now 40%, nine points higher than the 31% he had going into the Arsenal match. His expected points have not moved: 4.1, the same as at the GW9 deadline. Liverpool are 58% to win and have a 34% chance of a clean sheet. The odds give him a better chance of a goal than he had this week, but his expected points for the match are no higher.

The crowd

Managers are not selling him. Since the deadline, 113,008 have brought him in and 3,740 have moved him out. His price is up £0.1m, and he now costs £9.2m. He is owned by 21% of all managers and by 15.8% of the top 10k.

If you own him, keep him. His expected points for Palace are the same 4.1 he had before the blank, so the market has not marked him down, and selling him over one 2-point week would mean selling a player whose number has not dropped. The buyers should know that it has not gone up either. If he was already in your plans for GW10, the blank changes nothing. If you are thinking of bringing him in only because others are, you would be paying £9.2m for the same 4.1 expected points he had a week ago. Check where he stands for the weeks ahead in the planner before you spend a transfer on him.

Sources: Fantasy Premier League

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Every number here is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data, read at the time shown. Nothing here is a hunch. Methodology →