The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Newcastle 0-1 Everton. Branthwaite top-scored with 9 points. Before kick-off the odds had Newcastle 41% and Everton 32%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Newcastle are 41% to win at home, Everton 32%, the draw 27%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.6 goals from Newcastle and 1.4 from Everton; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Newcastle are 26% to keep a clean sheet, Everton 21%.
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BranthwaiteEVE · DEFexpected 2.2 | 9 | — | — | 3 |
| BarryEVE · FWDexpected 3.8 | 9 | 1 | — |
The cheap one: Hall at £5.2m, 4.3 points and 93% to start.
Dewsbury-Hall is the pick from Everton: 4.4 expected points, 22% to score and 17% to assist, owned by 10% of the top 10k at £6.6m. Then Barry on 3.8 and Tarkowski on 3.7.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Barnes, is 4.5 against Haaland's 7.0 elsewhere.
Newcastle 0-1 Everton, against the lean to Newcastle. The top score was Branthwaite's 9 points.
Our picks: Barnes 2 (expected 4.5) and Dewsbury-Hall 4 (expected 4.4).
Everton kept a clean sheet, at 21% before kick-off.
| 4.3 |
| 8% |
| 20% |
| + Watch |
| WissaNEW · FWD£5.9m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 32% | 1% | + Watch |
| WillockNEW · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 18% | 0% | + Watch |
| ThiawNEW · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 9% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 22% | 10% | + Watch |
| BarryEVE · FWD£5.7m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 30% | 26% | + Watch |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEF£6.2m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 8% | 10% | + Watch |
| GarnerEVE · MID£6.0m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| JohnsonEVE · MID£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| 3 |
| PickfordEVE · GKPexpected 2.6 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
| MykolenkoEVE · DEFexpected 2.8 | 6 | — | — | — |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEFexpected 3.7 | 6 | — | — | — |
| O'BrienEVE · DEFexpected 1.3 | 6 | — | — | — |
| GeorgeEVE · MIDexpected 3.4 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MIDexpected 4.4 | 4 | — | — | 1 |
| GarnerEVE · MIDexpected 3.6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| HorníčekNEW · GKPexpected 2.9 | 3 | — | — | — |
| ArmstrongEVE · MIDexpected 3.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RöhlEVE · MIDexpected 1.7 | 3 | — | — | — |
| SchärNEW · DEFexpected 1.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| DedićNEW · DEFexpected 1.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| N.GonzalezNEW · MIDexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| HallNEW · DEFexpected 4.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BarnesNEW · MIDexpected 4.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| ElangaNEW · MIDexpected 1.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| JoelintonNEW · MIDexpected 1.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WillockNEW · MIDexpected 3.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| OsulaNEW · FWDexpected 1.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| J.MurphyNEW · MIDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SteurNEW · MIDexpected 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WissaNEW · FWDexpected 4.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KeaneEVE · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HackneyEVE · MIDexpected 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BurnNEW · DEFexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TouréNEW · MIDexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| JohnsonEVE · MIDexpected 3.5 | 0 | — | — | — |
| J.RamseyNEW · MIDexpected 1.0 | -2 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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