The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth. Hill top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Man Utd 44% and Bournemouth 30%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Man Utd are 44% to win at home, Bournemouth 30%, the draw 26%. The market expects 1.7 goals from Man Utd and 1.4 from Bournemouth; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Man Utd are 26% to keep a clean sheet, Bournemouth 19%.
B.Fernandes is the pick from Man Utd: 5.2 expected points, 30% to score and 33% to assist, owned by 1% of the top 10k at £11.6m. Then Cunha on 4.9 and Mbeumo on .
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.FernandesMUN · MID£11.6m · 93% to start | 5.2 | 30% | 1% | + Watch |
| Cunha · MID |
The cheap one: Maguire at £4.6m, 3.5 points and 93% to start.
Tavernier is the pick from Bournemouth: 4.6 expected points, 25% to score and 19% to assist, owned by 66% of the top 10k at £6.7m. Then Silva on 3.9 and Evanilson on 3.9.
The cheap one: Silva at £5.1m, 3.9 points and 93% to start.
B.Fernandes is the 3rd best pick of Gameweek 8 on 5.2, behind Haaland on 6.9: a captain option, not the first one.
Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth, against the lean to Man Utd. The top score was Hill's 11 points.
Our picks: Tavernier 10 (expected 4.6).
Bournemouth kept a clean sheet, at 19% before kick-off.
| 4.9 |
| 27% |
| — |
| + Watch |
| MbeumoMUN · MID£7.9m · 93% to start | 4.9 | 32% | 21% | + Watch |
| TielemansMUN · MID£5.6m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 16% | — | + Watch |
| MaguireMUN · DEF£4.6m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 9% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TavernierBOU · MID£6.7m · 93% to start | 4.6 | 25% | 66% | + Watch |
| SilvaBOU · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 6% | 23% | + Watch |
| EvanilsonBOU · FWD£6.5m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 26% | 34% | + Watch |
| RayanBOU · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 24% | 2% | + Watch |
| HillBOU · DEF£5.6m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 5% | 2% | + Watch |
| — |
| TavernierBOU · MIDexpected 4.6 | 10 | 1 | — | 2 |
| TruffertBOU · DEFexpected 2.9 | 10 | — | 1 | 1 |
| SilvaBOU · DEFexpected 3.9 | 8 | — | — | — |
| PetrovićBOU · GKPexpected 2.1 | 7 | — | — | — |
| EvanilsonBOU · FWDexpected 3.9 | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| SmithBOU · DEFexpected 2.5 | 6 | — | — | — |
| KluivertBOU · MIDexpected 3.0 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| CookBOU · MIDexpected 2.0 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| AdamsBOU · MIDexpected 3.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| Andrey SantosMUN · MIDexpected 1.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| AmadMUN · MIDexpected 1.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MountMUN · MIDexpected 1.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BalebaMUN · MIDexpected 0.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MbeumoMUN · MIDexpected 4.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MartinezMUN · DEFexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YoroMUN · DEFexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gannon-DoakBOU · MIDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ChristieBOU · MIDexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AdliBOU · MIDexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kroupi.JrBOU · MIDexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| LammensMUN · GKPexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DalotMUN · DEFexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| LaceyMUN · MIDexpected 0.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ZirkzeeMUN · FWDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiakitéBOU · DEFexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CunhaMUN · MIDexpected 4.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HeavenMUN · DEFexpected 0.4 | 0 | — | — | — |
| TielemansMUN · MIDexpected 4.2 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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