The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Man City 0-1 Brighton. Verbruggen top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Man City 56% and Brighton 21%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Man City are 56% to win at home, Brighton 21%, the draw 23%. The market expects 2.1 goals from Man City and 1.3 from Brighton; the likeliest score is 2-1 (10%), then 1-1 and 2-0.
Man City are 29% to keep a clean sheet, Brighton 12%.
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VerbruggenBHA · GKPexpected 1.9 | 11 | — | — | 3 |
| AyariBHA · MIDexpected 3.4 | 10 | 1 | — |
Kostoulas is the pick from Brighton: 3.9 expected points, 27% to score and 14% to assist, owned by 3% of the top 10k at £5.8m. Then Groß on 3.9 and Gomez on 3.6.
Nobody from Brighton clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: Gomez at £5.0m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
Haaland is the best captain pick of Gameweek 9 on 7.0 expected points, so the armband belongs in this match.
Man City 0-1 Brighton, against the lean to Man City. The top score was Verbruggen's 11 points.
Our picks: Haaland 2 (expected 7.0) and Kostoulas 2 (expected 3.9).
Brighton kept a clean sheet, at 12% before kick-off.
| 4.4 |
| 27% |
| 10% |
| + Watch |
| NdiayeMCI · MID£5.8m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 24% | 2% | + Watch |
| EnzoMCI · MID£6.9m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 19% | 1% | + Watch |
| GvardiolMCI · DEF£5.6m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 10% | 11% | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KostoulasBHA · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 27% | 3% | + Watch |
| GroßBHA · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 15% | 89% | + Watch |
| GomezBHA · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 19% | 4% | + Watch |
| AyariBHA · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 14% | 0% | + Watch |
| De CuyperBHA · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 15% | 82% | + Watch |
| 2 |
| De CuyperBHA · DEFexpected 3.2 | 9 | — | 1 | 1 |
| CostinhaBHA · DEFexpected 1.2 | 8 | — | — | — |
| VuskovicBHA · DEFexpected 2.9 | 6 | — | — | — |
| DunkBHA · DEFexpected 1.7 | 6 | — | — | — |
| BoscagliBHA · DEFexpected 2.0 | 6 | — | — | — |
| KhusanovMCI · DEFexpected 1.5 | 4 | — | — | — |
| AndersonMCI · MIDexpected 3.3 | 4 | — | — | — |
| GomezBHA · MIDexpected 3.6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| AndrésBHA · MIDexpected 1.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GroßBHA · MIDexpected 3.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KostoulasBHA · FWDexpected 3.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| EnzoMCI · MIDexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| NdiayeMCI · MIDexpected 4.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DonnarummaMCI · GKPexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Matheus N.MCI · DEFexpected 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RúbenMCI · DEFexpected 3.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GvardiolMCI · DEFexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DokuMCI · MIDexpected 2.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| HaalandMCI · FWDexpected 7.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CherkiMCI · MIDexpected 4.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AllanMCI · MIDexpected 0.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HinshelwoodBHA · MIDexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WiefferBHA · DEFexpected 0.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GeorginioBHA · FWDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YalcouyéBHA · MIDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HadjamBHA · DEFexpected 0.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BouaddiMCI · MIDexpected 1.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| O'ReillyMCI · DEFexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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