The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Liverpool 2-0 Brighton. Araujo top-scored with 10 points. Before kick-off the odds had Liverpool 45% and Brighton 30%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Liverpool are 45% to win at home, Brighton 30%, the draw 25%. The market expects 1.8 goals from Liverpool and 1.4 from Brighton; the likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Liverpool are 24% to keep a clean sheet, Brighton 17%: goals at both ends, so neither defence is a pick on the clean sheet alone.
The cheap one: Jacquet at £5.1m, 3.8 points and 93% to start.
Kostoulas is the pick from Brighton: 4.2 expected points, 30% to score and 15% to assist, owned by 3% of the top 10k at £5.8m. Then Groß on 4.1 and Vuskovic on 3.6.
The cheap one: Vuskovic at £5.3m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Isak, is 4.7 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Liverpool 2-0 Brighton, as the odds leaned. The top score was Araujo's 10 points.
Our picks: Isak 9 (expected 4.7) and Kostoulas 2 (expected 4.2).
Liverpool kept a clean sheet, at 24% before kick-off.
| 4.0 |
| 8% |
| 1% |
| + Watch |
| WirtzLIV · MID£7.2m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 20% | 1% | + Watch |
| JacquetLIV · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 6% | 2% | + Watch |
| Mac AllisterLIV · MID£5.4m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 16% | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KostoulasBHA · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 30% | 3% | + Watch |
| GroßBHA · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 16% | 89% | + Watch |
| VuskovicBHA · DEF£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 10% | 14% | + Watch |
| De CuyperBHA · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 16% | 82% | + Watch |
| AyariBHA · MID£5.5m · 79% to start | 3.1 | 17% | 0% | + Watch |
| 1 |
| IsakLIV · FWDexpected 4.7 | 9 | 1 | — | 3 |
| JacquetLIV · DEFexpected 3.8 | 8 | — | — | — |
| A.BeckerLIV · GKPexpected 2.8 | 6 | — | — | — |
| WirtzLIV · MIDexpected 3.9 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| BarcolaLIV · MIDexpected 3.4 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| KerkezLIV · DEFexpected 2.8 | 6 | — | — | — |
| GravenberchLIV · MIDexpected 2.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| GakpoLIV · MIDexpected 3.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| Mac AllisterLIV · MIDexpected 3.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| VerbruggenBHA · GKPexpected 2.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GomezBHA · MIDexpected 2.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AyariBHA · MIDexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KostoulasBHA · FWDexpected 4.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AndrésBHA · MIDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TsimikasLIV · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YalcouyéBHA · MIDexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| F.KadıoğluBHA · DEFexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GeorginioBHA · FWDexpected 1.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HinshelwoodBHA · MIDexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NgumohaLIV · MIDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DunkBHA · DEFexpected 2.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NyoniLIV · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| De CuyperBHA · DEFexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KoumasLIV · MIDexpected 2.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| VuskovicBHA · DEFexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GroßBHA · MIDexpected 4.1 | 0 | — | — | — |
| CostinhaBHA · DEFexpected 1.1 | 0 | — | — | — |
| BoscagliBHA · DEFexpected 2.5 | -1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.