The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal. Konsa top-scored with 10 points. Before kick-off the odds had Liverpool 33% and Arsenal 39%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Liverpool are 33% to win at home, Arsenal 39%, the draw 28%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.3 goals from Liverpool and 1.4 from Arsenal; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 0-1 and 1-2.
Arsenal are 28% to keep a clean sheet, Liverpool 24%.
The cheap one: Jacquet at £5.1m, 3.5 points and 93% to start.
Ødegaard is the pick from Arsenal: 4.2 expected points, 17% to score and 18% to assist, owned by 6% of the top 10k at £6.7m. Then Gabriel on 3.9 and Havertz on 3.9.
The cheap one: Konsa at £4.8m, 3.6 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Saka (out).
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Ødegaard, is 4.2 against Haaland's 7.0 elsewhere.
Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal, as the odds leaned. The top score was Konsa's 10 points.
Our picks: Isak 2 (expected 4.1) and Ødegaard 3 (expected 4.2).
Arsenal kept a clean sheet, at 28% before kick-off.
| 3.6 |
| 21% |
| 2% |
| + Watch |
| VirgilLIV · DEF£6.4m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 7% | 1% | + Watch |
| WirtzLIV · MID£7.2m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 16% | 1% | + Watch |
| JacquetLIV · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 5% | 2% | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ØdegaardARS · MID£6.7m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 17% | 6% | + Watch |
| GabrielARS · DEF£8.1m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 6% | 15% | + Watch |
| HavertzARS · FWD£7.4m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 30% | 1% | + Watch |
| KonsaARS · DEF£4.8m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 5% | 86% | + Watch |
| RayaARS · GKP£6.2m · 93% to start | 3.1 | — | 63% | + Watch |
| 3 |
| RiceARS · MIDexpected 2.9 | 8 | — | 1 | 2 |
| GabrielARS · DEFexpected 3.9 | 6 | — | — | — |
| CalafioriARS · DEFexpected 2.4 | 6 | — | — | — |
| RayaARS · GKPexpected 3.1 | 5 | — | — | — |
| J.TimberARS · DEFexpected 1.1 | 5 | — | — | — |
| AraujoLIV · DEFexpected 3.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| Bruno G.ARS · MIDexpected 2.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| ØdegaardARS · MIDexpected 4.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| TzolisARS · MIDexpected 1.6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| JacquetLIV · DEFexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WirtzLIV · MIDexpected 3.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GakpoLIV · MIDexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MaduekeARS · MIDexpected 1.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| IsakLIV · FWDexpected 4.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| A.BeckerLIV · GKPexpected 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BarcolaLIV · MIDexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HincapieARS · DEFexpected 0.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MerinoARS · MIDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GyökeresARS · FWDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| VirgilLIV · DEFexpected 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KerkezLIV · DEFexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TsimikasLIV · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SzoboszlaiLIV · MIDexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NgumohaLIV · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mac AllisterLIV · MIDexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NyoniLIV · MIDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MunozLIV · MIDexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KoumasLIV · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.