The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Ipswich Town 1-1 Nott'm Forest. Enciso top-scored with 10 points. Before kick-off the odds had Ipswich Town 30% and Nott'm Forest 42%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Ipswich Town are 30% to win at home, Nott'm Forest 42%, the draw 28%. The market expects 1.3 goals from Ipswich Town and 1.6 from Nott'm Forest; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 0-1 and 1-2.
Nott'm Forest are 28% to keep a clean sheet, Ipswich Town 21%.
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EncisoIPS · MIDexpected 2.1 | 10 | 1 | — | 3 |
| N.WilliamsNFO · DEFexpected 4.0 | 8 | 1 | — |
Nobody from Ipswich Town clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Gibbs-White is the pick from Nott'm Forest: 4.5 expected points, 30% to score and 26% to assist, owned by 13% of the top 10k at £7.8m. Then Murillo on 4.3 and N.Williams on 4.0.
The cheap one: Murillo at £5.5m, 4.3 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Gibbs-White, is 4.5 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Ipswich Town 1-1 Nott'm Forest, a draw. The top score was Enciso's 10 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Emersonn 1 (expected 4.0) and Gibbs-White 2 (expected 4.5).
| 3.5 |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| + Watch |
| O'SheaIPS · DEF£4.0m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 6% | 5% | + Watch |
| MaedaIPS · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 22% | — | + Watch |
| FatawuIPS · MID£5.4m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 17% | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID£7.8m · 79% to start | 4.5 | 30% | 13% | + Watch |
| MurilloNFO · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| N.WilliamsNFO · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 11% | 2% | + Watch |
| McAteeNFO · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 16% | — | + Watch |
| SchlagerNFO · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 9% | — | + Watch |
| — |
| MuñozNFO · DEFexpected 2.8 | 7 | — | 1 | 2 |
| McAteeNFO · MIDexpected 3.9 | 5 | — | — | 1 |
| SchlagerNFO · MIDexpected 3.8 | 4 | — | — | — |
| PalaciosIPS · MIDexpected 3.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| FlorentinoIPS · MIDexpected 1.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| WaltonIPS · GKPexpected 1.7 | 3 | — | — | — |
| MilenkovićNFO · DEFexpected 1.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Jair CunhaNFO · DEFexpected 2.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| FatawuIPS · MIDexpected 3.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MIDexpected 4.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| NdoyeNFO · MIDexpected 3.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| O'SheaIPS · DEFexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PhilogeneIPS · MIDexpected 1.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| OuattaraIPS · DEFexpected 2.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DelapNFO · FWDexpected 3.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DavisIPS · DEFexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SelsNFO · GKPexpected 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| FlemmingIPS · FWDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiopIPS · DEFexpected 3.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MatusiwaIPS · MIDexpected 0.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ClarkeIPS · MIDexpected 2.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EmersonnIPS · FWDexpected 4.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AkpomIPS · FWDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MurilloNFO · DEFexpected 4.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NetzNFO · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Hudson-OdoiNFO · MIDexpected 1.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WoodNFO · FWDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MaedaIPS · MIDexpected 3.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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