The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle. Dedić top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Crystal Palace 33% and Newcastle 41%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Crystal Palace are 33% to win at home, Newcastle 41%, the draw 26%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.5 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.6 from Newcastle; the likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), then 1-2 and 2-1.
Newcastle are 23% to keep a clean sheet, Crystal Palace 19%: goals at both ends, so neither defence is a pick on the clean sheet alone.
Nobody from Crystal Palace clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
The cheap one: Yeremy at £5.5m, 3.8 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Mateta (0%).
Barnes is the pick from Newcastle: 4.5 expected points, 28% to score and 18% to assist, owned by 12% of the top 10k at £6.1m. Then Hall on 4.3 and Wissa on 4.2.
The cheap one: Hall at £5.2m, 4.3 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Barnes, is 4.5 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle, as the odds leaned. The top score was Dedić's 11 points (1 assist).
Our picks: Khalaili 0 (expected 4.0) and Barnes 8 (expected 4.5).
Newcastle kept a clean sheet, at 23% before kick-off.
| 3.8 |
| 19% |
| — |
| + Watch |
| RichardsCRY · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| KamadaCRY · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 16% | 0% | + Watch |
| WhartonCRY · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.4 | 9% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BarnesNEW · MID£6.1m · 93% to start | 4.5 | 28% | 12% | + Watch |
| HallNEW · DEF£5.2m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 7% | 20% | + Watch |
| WissaNEW · FWD£5.9m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 32% | 1% | + Watch |
| BotmanNEW · DEF£5.0m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| ThiawNEW · DEF£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 8% | 0% | + Watch |
| 3 |
| BarnesNEW · MIDexpected 4.5 | 8 | 1 | — | — |
| HorníčekNEW · GKPexpected 2.8 | 8 | — | — | 1 |
| SchärNEW · DEFexpected 0.4 | 7 | — | — | — |
| J.MurphyNEW · MIDexpected 2.5 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| BurnNEW · DEFexpected 0.6 | 6 | — | — | — |
| HallNEW · DEFexpected 4.3 | 5 | — | — | — |
| N.GonzalezNEW · MIDexpected 2.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| DisasiCRY · DEFexpected 0.8 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RichardsCRY · DEFexpected 3.8 | 3 | — | — | — |
| JoelintonNEW · MIDexpected 1.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| WillockNEW · MIDexpected 3.3 | 3 | — | — | — |
| WhartonCRY · MIDexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KamadaCRY · MIDexpected 3.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MatetaCRY · FWDexpected 0.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| McNeilCRY · MIDexpected 1.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BenitezCRY · GKPexpected 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| OsorioCRY · MIDexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SteurNEW · MIDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WissaNEW · FWDexpected 4.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MitchellCRY · DEFexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ThiawNEW · DEFexpected 3.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| YeremyCRY · MIDexpected 3.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ElangaNEW · MIDexpected 1.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| J.RamseyNEW · MIDexpected 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| NketiahCRY · FWDexpected 2.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CanvotCRY · DEFexpected 2.6 | 0 | — | — | — |
| KhalailiCRY · DEFexpected 4.0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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