The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Chelsea 0-2 Spurs. Tel top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Chelsea 54% and Spurs 23%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Chelsea are 54% to win at home, Spurs 23%, the draw 23%. The market expects 2.0 goals from Chelsea and 1.3 from Spurs; the likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), then 2-1 and 1-0.
Chelsea are 28% to keep a clean sheet, Spurs 14%.
Palmer is the pick from Chelsea: 5.3 expected points, 36% to score and 25% to assist, owned by 76% of the top 10k at £9.8m. Then Rogers on 5.1 and João Pedro on .
Flagged: João Pedro (0%), Lacroix (0%), James (out) and Martinez (out).
Tonali is the pick from Spurs: 3.6 expected points, 10% to score and 14% to assist, owned by 0% of the top 10k at £5.3m. Then Marmoush on 3.5 and Solanke on 3.2.
Nobody from Spurs clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
Palmer is the 2nd best pick of Gameweek 8 on 5.3, behind Haaland on 6.9: a captain option, not the first one.
Chelsea 0-2 Spurs, against the lean to Chelsea. The top score was Tel's 11 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Palmer -1 (expected 5.3) and Tonali 5 (expected 3.6).
Spurs kept a clean sheet, at 14% before kick-off.
| 5.1 |
| 31% |
| 93% |
| + Watch |
| João PedroCHE · FWD£7.6m · 79% to start | 5.1 | 42% | 12% | + Watch |
| NetoCHE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 23% | 1% | + Watch |
| WelbeckCHE · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 39% | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TonaliTOT · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| MarmoushTOT · FWD£7.0m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 23% | 0% | + Watch |
| SolankeTOT · FWD£5.8m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 26% | 1% | + Watch |
| KudusTOT · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 2.9 | 17% | 3% | + Watch |
| FernandesTOT · MID£5.6m · 93% to start | 2.5 | 12% | — | + Watch |
| 2 |
| Van HeckeTOT · DEFexpected 2.3 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
| FernandesTOT · MIDexpected 2.5 | 7 | — | 1 | — |
| HatoCHE · DEFexpected 1.9 | 6 | — | — | — |
| RobertsonTOT · DEFexpected 1.9 | 6 | — | — | — |
| Van de VenTOT · DEFexpected 2.0 | 5 | — | — | — |
| TonaliTOT · MIDexpected 3.6 | 5 | — | — | — |
| GrayTOT · MIDexpected 2.4 | 3 | — | — | — |
| NetoCHE · MIDexpected 4.4 | 3 | — | — | — |
| QuendaCHE · MIDexpected 1.7 | 3 | — | — | — |
| LacroixCHE · DEFexpected 3.6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| KudusTOT · MIDexpected 2.9 | 3 | — | — | — |
| ColwillCHE · DEFexpected 2.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| MarmoushTOT · FWDexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CaicedoCHE · MIDexpected 1.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| HendersonCHE · MIDexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RogersCHE · MIDexpected 5.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WelbeckCHE · FWDexpected 3.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AcheampongCHE · DEFexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| EstêvãoCHE · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pedro PorroTOT · DEFexpected 1.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DaviesTOT · DEFexpected 0.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MaddisonTOT · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| KulusevskiTOT · MIDexpected 0.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SolankeTOT · FWDexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PalestraCHE · DEFexpected 0.8 | 0 | — | — | — |
| GallagherTOT · MIDexpected 2.0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| PendersCHE · GKPexpected 0.3 | 0 | — | — | — |
| PalmerCHE · MIDexpected 5.3 | -1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.