The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Coventry City 3-1 Sunderland. Rudoni top-scored with 9 points. Before kick-off the odds had Coventry City 31% and Sunderland 40%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Coventry City are 31% to win at home, Sunderland 40%, the draw 29%: as even as a match gets. The market expects 1.2 goals from Coventry City and 1.4 from Sunderland; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 0-1 and 1-2.
Sunderland are 30% to keep a clean sheet, Coventry City 24%.
The cheap one: Pinnock at £4.5m, 3.5 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Thomas (50%).
E.Le Fée is the pick from Sunderland: 4.1 expected points, 20% to score and 20% to assist, owned by 1% of the top 10k at £5.7m. Then Xhaka on 4.0 and Sadiki on 3.1.
The cheap one: Xhaka at £5.3m, 4.0 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, E.Le Fée, is 4.1 against Haaland's 7.0 elsewhere.
Coventry City 3-1 Sunderland, against the lean to Sunderland. The top score was Rudoni's 9 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Rudoni 9 (expected 4.0) and E.Le Fée 8 (expected 4.1).
| 3.5 |
| 5% |
| 0% |
| + Watch |
| DasilvaCOV · DEF£4.0m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 5% | 0% | + Watch |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWD£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 22% | 0% | + Watch |
| Mason-ClarkCOV · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.Le FéeSUN · MID£5.7m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 20% | 1% | + Watch |
| XhakaSUN · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 10% | 0% | + Watch |
| SadikiSUN · MID£4.8m · 93% to start | 3.1 | 8% | — | + Watch |
| RoefsSUN · GKP£4.9m · 93% to start | 3.0 | — | 0% | + Watch |
| MukieleSUN · DEF£5.3m · 70% to start | 3.0 | 10% | — | + Watch |
| 3 |
| E.Le FéeSUN · MIDexpected 4.1 | 8 | 1 | — | 1 |
| SakamotoCOV · MIDexpected 1.7 | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| MfuniCOV · DEFexpected 1.1 | 4 | — | — | — |
| van EwijkCOV · DEFexpected 2.8 | 4 | — | — | — |
| TorpCOV · MIDexpected 1.1 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| O'NienSUN · DEFexpected 1.0 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| XhakaSUN · MIDexpected 4.0 | 4 | — | — | — |
| PinnockCOV · DEFexpected 3.5 | 4 | — | — | — |
| BrobbeySUN · FWDexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| SadikiSUN · MIDexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| YirenkyiCOV · MIDexpected 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DasilvaCOV · DEFexpected 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RushworthCOV · GKPexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GbohoCOV · MIDexpected 0.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TalbiSUN · MIDexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| N.AnguloSUN · MIDexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| IsidorSUN · FWDexpected 1.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GrimesCOV · MIDexpected 2.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CherifCOV · FWDexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWDexpected 3.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RiggSUN · MIDexpected 1.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HumeSUN · DEFexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ReinildoSUN · DEFexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| FofanaSUN · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MeunierSUN · DEFexpected 2.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RoefsSUN · GKPexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AldereteSUN · DEFexpected 0.6 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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