The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Coventry City 0-1 Fulham. Bobb top-scored with 11 points. Before kick-off the odds had Coventry City 30% and Fulham 42%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Coventry City are 30% to win at home, Fulham 42%, the draw 27%. The market expects 1.3 goals from Coventry City and 1.6 from Fulham; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 1-2 and 0-1.
Fulham are 27% to keep a clean sheet, Coventry City 21%.
Rudoni is the pick from Coventry City: 4.2 expected points, 24% to score and 18% to assist, owned by 3% of the top 10k at £4.9m. Then Thomas on 4.1 and Thomas-Asante on .
The cheap one: Thomas at £4.0m, 4.1 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Thomas (50%).
King is the pick from Fulham: 4.4 expected points, 24% to score and 20% to assist, owned by 6% of the top 10k at £5.5m. Then Iwobi on 4.2 and Gonzalo on 3.9.
The cheap one: Iwobi at £5.4m, 4.2 points and 93% to start.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, King, is 4.4 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Coventry City 0-1 Fulham, as the odds leaned. The top score was Bobb's 11 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Rudoni 2 (expected 4.2) and King 6 (expected 4.4).
Fulham kept a clean sheet, at 27% before kick-off.
| 4.1 |
| 8% |
| 13% |
| + Watch |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWD£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 23% | 0% | + Watch |
| PinnockCOV · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| Mason-ClarkCOV · MID£5.3m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 19% | — | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KingFUL · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 4.4 | 24% | 6% | + Watch |
| IwobiFUL · MID£5.4m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 17% | 1% | + Watch |
| GonzaloFUL · FWD£5.9m · 93% to start | 3.9 | 31% | 3% | + Watch |
| BobbFUL · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.7 | 18% | — | + Watch |
| AffengruberFUL · DEF£4.5m · 79% to start | 3.6 | 6% | 2% | + Watch |
| 2 |
| BasseyFUL · DEFexpected 3.5 | 8 | — | — | — |
| RobinsonFUL · DEFexpected 3.3 | 7 | — | — | — |
| CastagneFUL · DEFexpected 3.3 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
| AffengruberFUL · DEFexpected 3.6 | 6 | — | — | — |
| KingFUL · MIDexpected 4.4 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| PinnockCOV · DEFexpected 3.2 | 4 | — | — | — |
| IwobiFUL · MIDexpected 4.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| YirenkyiCOV · MIDexpected 2.6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| LarssonFUL · MIDexpected 1.4 | 3 | — | — | — |
| SakamotoCOV · MIDexpected 1.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GrimesCOV · MIDexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RudoniCOV · MIDexpected 4.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| DasilvaCOV · DEFexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| van EwijkCOV · DEFexpected 2.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RushworthCOV · GKPexpected 2.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GonzaloFUL · FWDexpected 3.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CharlesFUL · MIDexpected 3.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CherifCOV · FWDexpected 1.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV · FWDexpected 3.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MunizFUL · FWDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AwoniyiCOV · FWDexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mason-ClarkCOV · MIDexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TeteFUL · DEFexpected 0.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PalaciosFUL · MIDexpected 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| OnyekaCOV · MIDexpected 2.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MfuniCOV · DEFexpected 0.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ThomasCOV · DEFexpected 4.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BergeFUL · MIDexpected 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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