The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds. Evanilson top-scored with 9 points. Before kick-off the odds had Bournemouth 45% and Leeds 26%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Bournemouth are 45% to win at home, Leeds 26%, the draw 28%. The market expects 1.5 goals from Bournemouth and 1.1 from Leeds; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 1-0 and 2-1.
Bournemouth are 33% to keep a clean sheet, Leeds 22%.
The cheap one: Silva at £5.1m, 4.3 points and 93% to start.
Calvert-Lewin is the pick from Leeds: 4.2 expected points, 31% to score and 8% to assist, owned by 23% of the top 10k at £6.0m. Then Okafor on 3.5 and Muharemović on 3.5.
Flagged: Stach (50%).
Tavernier is the 5th best pick of Gameweek 9 on 4.8, behind Haaland on 7.0: a captain option, not the first one.
Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds, as the odds leaned. The top score was Evanilson's 9 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Tavernier 3 (expected 4.8) and Calvert-Lewin 2 (expected 4.2).
Bournemouth kept a clean sheet, at 33% before kick-off.
| 4.3 |
| 29% |
| 34% |
| + Watch |
| HillBOU · DEF£5.6m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 5% | 2% | + Watch |
| SilvaBOU · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 4.3 | 7% | 23% | + Watch |
| RayanBOU · MID£6.3m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 25% | 2% | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvert-LewinLEE · FWD£6.0m · 93% to start | 4.2 | 31% | 23% | + Watch |
| OkaforLEE · MID£5.7m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 20% | — | + Watch |
| MuharemovićLEE · DEF£5.1m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 6% | 37% | + Watch |
| JustinLEE · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 7% | 1% | + Watch |
| BogleLEE · DEF£4.8m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 8% | 3% | + Watch |
| — |
| 2 |
| AdliBOU · MIDexpected 1.2 | 8 | 1 | — | 2 |
| KluivertBOU · MIDexpected 2.7 | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| TruffertBOU · DEFexpected 4.0 | 6 | — | — | — |
| PetrovićBOU · GKPexpected 3.1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| HillBOU · DEFexpected 4.3 | 6 | — | — | — |
| SmithBOU · DEFexpected 3.5 | 6 | — | — | — |
| ChristieBOU · MIDexpected 3.4 | 4 | — | — | — |
| Kroupi.JrBOU · MIDexpected 0.9 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
| TavernierBOU · MIDexpected 4.8 | 3 | — | — | — |
| MuharemovićLEE · DEFexpected 3.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| AmpaduLEE · MIDexpected 3.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RayanBOU · MIDexpected 4.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| JustinLEE · DEFexpected 3.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TraffordLEE · GKPexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Calvert-LewinLEE · FWDexpected 4.2 | 2 | — | — | — |
| ElvediLEE · DEFexpected 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AdamsBOU · MIDexpected 3.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TanakaLEE · MIDexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| JamesLEE · MIDexpected 1.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| WilsonLEE · MIDexpected 1.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GudmundssonLEE · DEFexpected 2.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BahoyaLEE · MIDexpected 1.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiakitéBOU · DEFexpected 0.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CookBOU · MIDexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| RodríguezBOU · FWDexpected 1.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BogleLEE · DEFexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| StachLEE · MIDexpected 1.9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AaronsonLEE · MIDexpected 2.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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