The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 9Tips and overview →
Played: Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham. N.Jackson top-scored with 9 points. Before kick-off the odds had Aston Villa 45% and Fulham 29%. As of Sat 31 Oct, 10:43 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 9 deadline.
Aston Villa are 45% to win at home, Fulham 29%, the draw 27%. The market expects 1.6 goals from Aston Villa and 1.2 from Fulham; the likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), then 1-0 and 2-1.
Aston Villa are 29% to keep a clean sheet, Fulham 20%.
The cheap one: McGinn at £5.4m, 4.1 points and 93% to start.
King is the pick from Fulham: 4.0 expected points, 22% to score and 16% to assist, owned by 6% of the top 10k at £5.5m. Then Iwobi on 4.0 and Bobb on 3.8.
The cheap one: Iwobi at £5.4m, 4.0 points and 93% to start.
N.Jackson is the 3rd best pick of Gameweek 9 on 5.0, behind Haaland on 7.0: a captain option, not the first one.
Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham, a draw. The top score was N.Jackson's 9 points (1 goal).
Our picks: N.Jackson 9 (expected 5.0) and King 2 (expected 4.0).
| 4.4 |
| 25% |
| 0% |
| + Watch |
| McGinnAVL · MID£5.4m · 93% to start | 4.1 | 20% | 1% | + Watch |
| ManzambiAVL · MID£6.2m · 79% to start | 4.0 | 28% | 26% | + Watch |
| LindelöfAVL · DEF£4.5m · 93% to start | 3.6 | 6% | 0% | + Watch |
| Player | GW9 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KingFUL · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 22% | 6% | + Watch |
| IwobiFUL · MID£5.4m · 93% to start | 4.0 | 16% | 1% | + Watch |
| BobbFUL · MID£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.8 | 17% | — | + Watch |
| GonzaloFUL · FWD£5.9m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 28% | 3% | + Watch |
| CharlesFUL · MID£5.0m · 93% to start | 3.3 | 10% | — | + Watch |
| 2 |
| IwobiFUL · MIDexpected 4.0 | 6 | — | 1 | 1 |
| RobinsonFUL · DEFexpected 2.6 | 4 | — | — | — |
| AffengruberFUL · DEFexpected 3.1 | 3 | — | — | — |
| KamaraAVL · MIDexpected 3.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GonzaloFUL · FWDexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| AlyssonAVL · MIDexpected 2.4 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CharlesFUL · MIDexpected 3.3 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BergeFUL · MIDexpected 2.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| LindelöfAVL · DEFexpected 3.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| PauAVL · DEFexpected 1.1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BobbFUL · MIDexpected 3.8 | 2 | — | — | — |
| LenoFUL · GKPexpected 2.6 | 2 | — | — | — |
| MaatsenAVL · DEFexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GoretzkaAVL · MIDexpected 0.9 | 2 | — | — | — |
| CastagneFUL · DEFexpected 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| KingFUL · MIDexpected 4.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BasseyFUL · DEFexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BuendíaAVL · MIDexpected 4.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| BarkleyAVL · MIDexpected 3.2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GomesAVL · MIDexpected 2.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| GarnachoAVL · MIDexpected 0.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| TeteFUL · DEFexpected 1.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CashAVL · DEFexpected 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MunizFUL · FWDexpected 2.4 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PalaciosFUL · MIDexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| SuzukiAVL · GKPexpected 3.3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MbayeAVL · MIDexpected 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| LarssonFUL · MIDexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
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