The result, every player's points and what the odds said before kick-off.
How to use this →Gameweek 8Tips and overview →
Played: Arsenal 2-0 Everton. Gabriel top-scored with 17 points. Before kick-off the odds had Arsenal 66% and Everton 12%. As of Fri 23 Oct, 18:07 UK.
Written from the odds as they stood before the Gameweek 8 deadline.
Arsenal are 66% to win at home, Everton 12%, the draw 21%: a heavy lean to Arsenal. The market expects 2.0 goals from Arsenal and 0.8 from Everton; the likeliest score is 2-0 (13%), then 1-0 and 2-1.
Arsenal are 47% to keep a clean sheet, Everton 13%: Arsenal's defenders are in play this week.
The cheap one: Konsa at £4.8m, 4.4 points and 93% to start.
Flagged: Saka (out).
Dewsbury-Hall is the pick from Everton: 3.5 expected points, 15% to score and 12% to assist, owned by 10% of the top 10k at £6.6m. Then Garner on 3.2 and Tarkowski on 3.0.
Nobody from Everton clears 4 points, so this is a match to pick against rather than from.
No captain here: the best pick in the match, Gabriel, is 4.9 against Haaland's 6.9 elsewhere.
Arsenal 2-0 Everton, as the odds leaned. The top score was Gabriel's 17 points (1 goal).
Our picks: Gabriel 17 (expected 4.9) and Dewsbury-Hall 2 (expected 3.5).
Arsenal kept a clean sheet, at 47% before kick-off.
| 4.8 |
| 20% |
| 6% |
| + Watch |
| HavertzARS · FWD£7.4m · 93% to start | 4.7 | 37% | 1% | + Watch |
| CalafioriARS · DEF£5.9m · 93% to start | 4.6 | 10% | 82% | + Watch |
| RiceARS · MID£7.5m · 93% to start | 4.5 | 14% | 2% | + Watch |
| Player | GW8 pts | Score | Top 10k | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MID£6.6m · 93% to start | 3.5 | 15% | 10% | + Watch |
| GarnerEVE · MID£6.0m · 93% to start | 3.2 | 7% | 0% | + Watch |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEF£6.2m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 5% | 10% | + Watch |
| BarryEVE · FWD£5.7m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 19% | 26% | + Watch |
| BranthwaiteEVE · DEF£5.5m · 93% to start | 3.0 | 5% | 1% | + Watch |
| 2 |
| WhiteARS · DEFexpected 3.5 | 10 | — | 1 | 1 |
| RayaARS · GKPexpected 4.2 | 7 | — | — | — |
| GyökeresARS · FWDexpected 2.5 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| ArmstrongEVE · MIDexpected 2.8 | 4 | — | — | — |
| EzeARS · MIDexpected 2.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| ØdegaardARS · MIDexpected 4.8 | 3 | — | — | — |
| MaduekeARS · MIDexpected 2.0 | 3 | — | — | — |
| RiceARS · MIDexpected 4.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| GarnerEVE · MIDexpected 3.2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| O'BrienEVE · DEFexpected 0.5 | 3 | — | — | — |
| MerinoARS · MIDexpected 2.9 | 3 | — | — | — |
| JohnsonEVE · MIDexpected 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Lewis-SkellyARS · MIDexpected 2.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEFexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Dewsbury-HallEVE · MIDexpected 3.5 | 2 | — | — | — |
| GeorgeEVE · MIDexpected 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — |
| RöhlEVE · MIDexpected 1.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| BarryEVE · FWDexpected 3.0 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Bruno G.ARS · MIDexpected 2.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| ZubimendiARS · MIDexpected 1.5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HackneyEVE · MIDexpected 1.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| AlcarazEVE · MIDexpected 0.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| CalafioriARS · DEFexpected 4.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| HavertzARS · FWDexpected 4.7 | 1 | — | — | — |
| PickfordEVE · GKPexpected 2.1 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DiblingEVE · MIDexpected 0.8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| DowmanARS · MIDexpected 0.6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| MykolenkoEVE · DEFexpected 2.0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Each match page reads the same projection run as every other tool, so its picks agree with the captain page, the planner and the player pages. Nothing here is a tip: the numbers are the market's view of the match, turned into FPL points.
Pages exist for every match from Gameweek 7 to the next open deadline. A page for a match the bookmakers have not priced shows our club-strength estimates, marked as such, until the odds land.
Full methodology →From the bookmakers' odds for the match result and each side's goals, with every bookmaker's margin removed and the sharper books weighted higher. The likeliest score is the Poisson combination of the two expected-goals figures.
The picks table on each side ranks the likely starters by expected points, with the chance of a goal and top-10k ownership beside each. The rundown says whether anyone in the match is a captain option.
Every hour from recent starts and FPL's flags, which move most after the managers' press conferences, usually two days before the match.
A free account brings the deadline email with your captain and bench, injury alerts for players you watch, and price alerts the evening before they move.