MID · Brentford

Fábio Freitas Gouveia Carvalho

£5.0mowned by 0.0%6 pts this seasonavailable

Started 0 of 6, unused sub 5×. Transfers this gameweek: +199 −180 (net +19).

Gameweek 7 v LIV (H)

0.6expected points · partial (no market: assist)

Goal chance: 22%
Assist chance: no market
Start chance: 21%; from availability and recent starts
Projected bonus: 0.05

Goal and assist chance unchanged since the odds opened on 15 Oct.

Brentford this week: 1.68 expected goals, 22% clean sheet at home. Clean sheets →

Captain picks → · Every player →

Odds last refreshed Thu 15 Oct, 13:00 UK

Next fixtures

GW7	LIV (H)	0.6
GW8	HUL (A)	0.3team market
GW9	NFO (H)	no market
GW10	BHA (A)	no market

This week from player markets; later weeks from the team's expected goals split by his season share. Fixture ticker →

Price and ownership

Tracked since 15 Oct: £5.0m, owned by 0.0%. The trend line fills in as the daily snapshots build up.

Tonight: rise 90% of the threshold →

Our projections vs reality

The first deadline snapshot is frozen before GW7; the comparison starts there.

In the top 10k

Carvalho does not appear in the latest top-10k sample, or the first sample (an hour after the GW7 deadline) is still to come. Top-10k ownership →

Alternatives at £5.0m ±£1.0m

Ndiaye MCI · IPS (H)	£5.8m	4.9
King FUL · HUL (H)	£5.6m	4.7
Janelt BRE · LIV (H)	£5.0m	4.5
Buendía AVL · NEW (A)	£5.9m	4.4
Gomez BHA · CRY (H)	£5.0m	4.2

Same position, likely starters, by expected points this gameweek. Every player →

This season

6 pts · 1 goals · 0 assists · 0 clean sheets · 0 defensive contribution · 0 bonus · 3 min · 0 yellow · 6.0 pts per appearance

GW	Opponent	Min	G	DC	BPS	Bonus	Pts
GW6	AVL (A)	0	0	0	0	0	0
GW5	CHE (H)	3 s	1	0	23	0	6
GW4	BOU (A)	0	0

Questions

Is Carvalho a good FPL captain this week?: Carvalho projects 0.6 expected points against LIV (H), with a 22% chance of scoring; that ranks outside the top among likely starters this gameweek. The captain page ranks every candidate by expected captained points.
Will Carvalho rise or fall in price?: Tonight's price watch has Carvalho at 90% of the rise threshold from net transfers today. Above 100% is a predicted move; the price-changes page updates through the day.
Is Carvalho a rotation risk?: Carvalho has started 0 of Brentford's 6 league matches this season, and was an unused substitute 5 times. The model gives a 21% chance of appearing this week and 5% of playing an hour.
Who does Carvalho play next?: GW7: LIV (H) (0.6 expected); GW8: HUL (A) (0.3 expected); GW9: NFO (H); GW10: BHA (A)

Every number is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data; see the methodology.

Gameweek 7 v LIV (H)

0.6expected points · partial (no market: assist)

Goal chance

22%

Assist chance

no market

Start chance

21%

from availability and recent starts

Projected bonus

0.05

Goal and assist chance unchanged since the odds opened on 15 Oct.

Brentford this week: 1.68 expected goals, 22% clean sheet at home. Clean sheets →

Odds last refreshed Thu 15 Oct, 13:00 UK

Opponent

Min

BPS

Bonus

Pts

GW6

AVL (A)

GW5

CHE (H)

3 s

GW4

BOU (A)

Questions

Is Carvalho a good FPL captain this week?

Carvalho projects 0.6 expected points against LIV (H), with a 22% chance of scoring; that ranks outside the top among likely starters this gameweek. The captain page ranks every candidate by expected captained points.

Will Carvalho rise or fall in price?

Tonight's price watch has Carvalho at 90% of the rise threshold from net transfers today. Above 100% is a predicted move; the price-changes page updates through the day.

Is Carvalho a rotation risk?

Carvalho has started 0 of Brentford's 6 league matches this season, and was an unused substitute 5 times. The model gives a 21% chance of appearing this week and 5% of playing an hour.

Who does Carvalho play next?

GW7: LIV (H) (0.6 expected); GW8: HUL (A) (0.3 expected); GW9: NFO (H); GW10: BHA (A)

Every number is derived from de-vigged market probabilities or FPL's own data; see the methodology.